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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart

05/16/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.5
Total xG
2.9
VfB Stuttgart
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
EFVS

Eintracht Frankfurt

Defensive strength (2.2 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.39
Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.27
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.11
Jonathan Burkardt on the bench (11 goals, 1 assists)
Farès Chaïbi on the bench (2 goals, 9 assists)
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
Hugo Larsson on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Oscar Højlund not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

VfB Stuttgart

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.17
Rising form (2.6 vs 2 season average)
+0.17
Bilal El Khannouss on the bench (4 goals, 5 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.72
+0.72
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    VfB Stuttgart with Josha Vagnoman: 9.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Eintracht Frankfurt: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 3
    Eintracht Frankfurt: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

28%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • VfB Stuttgart shows a strongly rising form with an average of 2.6 goals per game recently compared to 2.0 season average
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is in a negative form phase with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a close outcome with a 40% win probability for Frankfurt and 32% for Stuttgart
Risk Factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is missing Jonathan Burkardt (11 goals/1 assist), Farès Chaïbi (2 goals/9 assists), Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab (2 goals/4 assists), Hugo Larsson (2 goals/2 assists), and Oscar Højlund (1 goal/1 assist)
  • Limited data available for total duels in the last 5 games
Overview

Eintracht Frankfurt (8th place, 43 points) host VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 61 points) at Deutsche Bank Park

Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM

Stuttgart is fighting for a European spot, while Frankfurt aims to consolidate their mid-table position

Form

Eintracht Frankfurt's current form is WLDLL across all competitions

This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches

VfB Stuttgart, on the other hand, shows a form of WLDDW

This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 1.79 goals per game and concedes 1.91 goals

VfB Stuttgart shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.09 goals and 1.42 goals conceded

At home, Frankfurt scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.67 goals

Away, Stuttgart scores an average of 2.05 goals and concedes 1.63 goals

Frankfurt has seen both teams score in 24 out of 33 games, and over 2.5 goals in 22 games

Stuttgart has seen both teams score in 20 out of 33 games, and over 2.5 goals in 24 games

Deutsche Bank Park sees an average of 2.8 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 2 wins and VfB Stuttgart secured 3 wins

There have been no draws between these two teams

The goal difference stands at 7:10 in favor of VfB Stuttgart

Their last encounter on January 13, 2026, resulted in a 3-2 victory for Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart has been the more dominant side in recent meetings

Key Players

Can Uzun, midfielder, scored 8 goals and provided 6 assists this season with an average rating of 7.1

Ritsu Doan, attacker, has 5 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 6.95

Arnaud Kalimuendo, attacker, registered 6 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.86

For VfB Stuttgart, Deniz Undav, attacker, is crucial with 19 goals and 6 assists (rating 7.33)

Ermedin Demirovic, attacker, contributed 12 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Chris Führich, midfielder, records 7 goals and 6 assists and also shows a rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Michael Zetterer is Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper, having played 21 games

The team recorded 7 clean sheets this season

Alexander Nübel is in goal for VfB Stuttgart in 33 season games

Stuttgart achieved 11 clean sheets

Influences

Eintracht Frankfurt has scored an average of 1.8 goals at home and conceded 1.67 goals

This suggests a slight home advantage in offense

Deutsche Bank Park is known for an average of 2.8 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

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