Friendly International
Mexico - Ghana
05/23/2026, 02:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.9
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Mexico
Ghana
League
The Lab
- 1Mexico: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
- 2Mexico with Brian Gutiérrez: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
24%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Ghana's severely limited goal threat: According to data, only 0% of Ghana's usual starting eleven offensive strength is available.
- Mexico's excellent form and solid defense: Mexico is unbeaten in their last 5 games and concedes an average of only 0.2 goals per game this season.
- Ghana's defensive weakness: Ghana has suffered losses in their last 4 games and conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away match.
Risk Factors
- Key absences for Ghana: K. Sulemana (Unknown Injury), M. Kudus (Muscle Injury), and A. Boakye (Yellow Card Suspension) are unavailable.
- Limited data availability: Missing head-to-head data and incomplete xG values for the last 5 games are noted in the dataset.
- Ghana's limited scoring opportunities: Ghana recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.
Overview
Mexico hosts Ghana in a Friendly International match on May 23, 2026, 4:00 AM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 59%. Mexico is expected to score 1.93 goals, while Ghana is expected to score 0.93 goals.
Form
Mexico is in excellent form with a record of WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last 5 matches. Most recently, Mexico had two draws, including a 1-1 against Belgium and a 0-0 against Portugal. Ghana, on the other hand, is in a difficult phase with a record of WLLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses). The team suffered losses in their last 4 matches, including a 1-2 against Germany and a 1-5 against Austria. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Mexico shows a strong record in 5 season games with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game and only 0.2 goals conceded. The team kept 4 clean sheets. At home, Mexico averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.25 goals. Ghana has scored an average of 1.0 goal in 2 season games but conceded an alarming 3.5 goals per game, with no clean sheets. Away, they also average 1.0 goal scored and 3.5 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any direct head-to-head encounters between Mexico and Ghana.
Key Players
For Mexico, Armando GonzĂĄlez (Attacker, 2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games), JesĂșs Gallardo (Defender, 0 goals, 2 assists in the last 5 games), and Gilberto Mora (Midfielder, 1 goal in the last 5 games) are important players. For Ghana, Felix Afena-Gyan (Attacker, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games), Ibrahim Osman (Attacker, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games), and Majeed Ashimeru (Midfielder, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games) are among the listed players.
Goalkeepers
RaĂșl Rangel is Mexico's goalkeeper and has recorded 4 clean sheets for his team in 5 appearances this season. For Ghana, Benjamin Asare is expected in goal, who has not recorded any clean sheets this season.
Influences
Mexico benefits from a clear home advantage, averaging 1.25 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded in home games. Ghana, however, appears vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per away game.