Friendly International
Netherlands - Algeria
06/03/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.9
2.2
1:2
8%2:2
7%2:1
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%What influences the xG?
Netherlands
Algeria
League
The Lab
- 1Algeria: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
23%
Away Win
48%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
55%
Under 3.5
45%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
52%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
74%
No
26%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts an away win for Algeria with 48% probability and 2.18 expected goals
- Algeria's offensive strength: Algeria averages 3.5 goals per game this season and shows positive recent form with an average of 4.0 goals
- High scoring potential: The model calculates a 74% probability for both teams to score and a 75% probability for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
- Netherlands' limited starting XI strength: Only 67% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available
- Netherlands' defensive approach: Netherlands recently played counter-oriented with an average of 38% possession and 3.0 shots on target per game
- Limited data availability: There are no previous head-to-head meetings between the teams
Overview
Netherlands host Algeria in a Friendly International match at Stadion Feijenoord on June 3, 2026, 8:45 PM
Form
Netherlands' recent form is W-D (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses)
Their last match was a 1-1 draw against Ecuador
Before that, they secured a 2-1 win against Norway
Algeria's last five games show a form of W-L-W-W-D (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Their most recent game was a 0-0 draw against Uruguay
Previously, they achieved an impressive 7-0 victory over Guatemala
Statistics
Netherlands averages 1.5 goals scored per season game and concedes 1.0 goals
In 2 season games, both teams scored (2 BTTS) and there was one occurrence of over 2.5 goals
Algeria boasts a strong season record with an average of 3.5 goals scored per game and 0.0 goals conceded
In their 2 season games, Algeria kept 2 clean sheets and neither team scored on 0 occasions
Stadion Feijenoord, the venue, has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in its last 5 matches
Both teams scored in all 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
Key Players
For Netherlands, Donyell Malen stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games and a rising form trend
Virgil van Dijk has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, also showing a rising form
Tijjani Reijnders has scored 1 goal this season
For Algeria, Amine Gouiri is a key attacker with 2 season goals and 4 goals in his last 5 games, showing rising form
Houssem Aouar contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season, and 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 matches
Ramy Bensebaini showed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rising form
Goalkeepers
Netherlands' goalkeeper, Bart Verbruggen, had 0 clean sheets in 1 season appearance
Algeria's goalkeeper Luca Zidane made 1 season appearance
Netherlands has recorded 0 clean sheets this season
Algeria has secured 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
The playing surface is grass
Stadion Feijenoord averaged 2.8 goals in its last 5 matches
Both teams scored in all 5 of these matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of the games
Netherlands has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in their 2 home games