Friendly International
Morocco - Ecuador
03/27/2026, 08:15 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
6%1:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
24%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts Morocco to have a 53% win probability compared to Ecuador's 22%
- The Riyadh Air Metropolitano promotes high-scoring games with an average of 4.8 goals per match
- The current form of individual players like John Yeboah (2 goals, 1 assist) and Achraf Hakimi (5 assists) could influence the match
Risk Factors
- Limited data available regarding season statistics and team form
- Missing data on head-to-head encounters between the two teams
Overview
Morocco hosts Ecuador at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano for a Friendly International on March 27, 2026, 9:15 PM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 53%
Form
The provided dataset does not include information on the teams' current form
Statistics
Venue analysis indicates an average of 4.8 goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and there were over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games. The mathematical model predicts both teams to score with a 62% probability and over 2.5 goals with a 62% probability
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not contain information on head-to-head matches between Morocco and Ecuador
Key Players
Morocco: Achraf Hakimi has been a crucial provider with 5 assists in his last 5 games. Ismael Saibari contributed to the offense with 1 goal and 3 assists in 5 games, achieving an average rating of 7.33. Azzedine Ounahi recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances with a rating of 7.24
Ecuador: John Yeboah stands out with 2 goals and 1 assist in 2 games, achieving an impressive average rating of 8.16. Joel Ordóñez scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.67. Willian Pacho provided 1 assist in 5 games with a rating of 6.93
Goalkeepers
Morocco's goalkeeper Yassine Bounou played 5 games in his last 5 appearances with an average rating of 6.85. Hernán Galíndez of Ecuador also played 5 games and achieved an average rating of 7.10
Influences
The Riyadh Air Metropolitano is a venue for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.8 goals per game. In 80% of the last five games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were registered. This suggests a generally offensive atmosphere at the stadium