Friendly International
United States - Germany
06/06/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.5
1.8
1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%1:3
5%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
United States
Germany
League
The Lab
- 1United States: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2United States with Christian Pulisic: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Key Factors
- Germany's strong offensive performance: The team averages 3.33 goals per game this season and in current form
- Germany's positive form: The team is on a 3-game winning streak
- High goal potential: The pipeline analysis predicts a 70% probability for both teams to score and 69% for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
- The United States' defensive vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 3.00 goals per game this season
- Germany's away defensive record: The team concedes an average of 3.00 goals per away game this season
Overview
The United States host Germany in a Friendly International at Soldier Field on June 6, 2026, 6:30 PM. Both teams are using this match for preparation.
Form
The United States' form is WWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last five games, they recorded 3 wins and 2 losses. The team won their last match. Germany is unbeaten in their last three games with a form of WWW. The team achieved 3 consecutive wins.
Statistics
The United States averaged 1.67 goals scored per game and conceded 3.00 goals per game this season. Germany showed stronger offense with an average of 3.33 goals per game and conceded 1.33 goals per game. The United States kept no clean sheets in home games, while Germany had 1 clean sheet in 2 home games. At Soldier Field, an average of 3.6 goals were scored per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams. Germany won 1 game, while the United States recorded no wins. There were no draws. The goal difference is 0:1 in favor of Germany. The last encounter ended on June 26, 2014, with a 0:1 victory for Germany. Germany has been more dominant in recent direct encounters.
Key Players
For the United States, Folarin Balogun is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Christian Pulisic contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games. SergiƱo Dest showed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games. For Germany, Florian Wirtz is a key midfielder with 3 season goals and 2 assists. Kai Havertz scored 1 season goal and 2 goals in his last 5 games. Joshua Kimmich is an important midfielder with 1 season assist and 3 assists in his last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
For the United States, Matt Freese is expected in goal, having played in 1 season game. The United States have recorded no clean sheets this season. For Germany, Oliver Baumann is expected in goal, having played in 2 season games and recorded 1 clean sheet.
Influences
The match will take place on a grass surface at Soldier Field. The United States averaged 1.67 goals scored at home and conceded 3.00 goals. Germany averaged 4.00 goals scored away and conceded 3.00 goals. The stadium recorded an average of 3.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 60% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the games.