Friendly International
United States - Senegal
05/31/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
United States
Senegal
The Lab
- 1United States with Diego Luna: 4.1 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Senegal with Ismaïla Sarr: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 10 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3United States: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Senegal: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 5Senegal: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Senegal's strong offense (2.5 goals/game) meets the USA's vulnerable defense (3.5 goals conceded/game)
- Senegal's positive form (3 consecutive wins) contrasts with the USA's recent losses
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 67% probability for a home win or a draw
Risk Factors
- Limited data due to missing head-to-head encounters
- The USA has a poor record on artificial turf (0 wins, 2 losses, 2:7 goals)
Overview
United States host Senegal in a Friendly International match at Bank of America Stadium on May 31, 2026, 8:30 PM
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The USA's recent form is WWWLL with 3 wins and 2 losses
They have suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
Senegal's form is LLWWW with 3 wins and 2 losses
They have won their last 3 consecutive matches
In their last 5 games, USA lost to Portugal (0-2) and Belgium (2-5)
Prior to that, they secured wins against Uruguay (5-1), Paraguay (2-1), and Australia (2-1)
Senegal won their last 3 matches against Gambia (3-1), Peru (2-0), and Kenya (8-0)
They lost to Brazil (0-2) and Tanzania (1-2)
Statistics
The United States scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 3.5 goals
They have kept 0 clean sheets
Senegal scored an average of 2.5 goals per game and conceded 0.5 goals this season
They have kept 1 clean sheet
Bank of America Stadium sees an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
No data on previous head-to-head encounters between these two teams is available in the provided dataset
Key Players
For the USA, Ricardo Pepi is a key attacker with 1 assist this season and 6 goals in his last 5 games, showing rising form
Sebastian Berhalter, a midfielder, has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games, also with rising form
Antonee Robinson, a defender, recorded 1 assist this season and 1 goal in his last 5 games, with rising form
For Senegal, Nicolas Jackson, an attacker, is relevant with 1 season goal and 1 goal in his last 5 games
Lamine Camara, a midfielder, scored 1 goal this season and contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Sadio Mané, an attacker, scored 3 goals in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
For the USA, Matt Turner is the likely goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.57 this season
He has not kept any clean sheets this season
For Senegal, Mory Diaw is the likely goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.91 this season
He has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
Influences
The USA has a poor record on artificial turf with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 2 goals and conceding 7
No specific data is available for Senegal's performance on artificial turf
Bank of America Stadium averages 2.6 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games