Friendly International

Brazil - France

03/26/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Brazil
1.6
Total xG
2.5
France
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

80%

Away or Draw

49%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Brazil with 52%
  • Brazilian Offensive Power: Raphinha with 5 goals and 2 assists, and Vinicius Junior with 4 goals in the last 5 games are crucial
  • French Attacking Threat: Michael Olise with 3 goals and 2 assists, and Ousmane Dembélé with 2 goals in the last 5 games pose a threat
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability regarding season statistics for both teams
  • Limited data availability regarding current form and head-to-head matches
  • Missing environmental data (weather, venue history) limits the analysis
Overview

Brazil host France in a Friendly International match on March 26, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Brazil with 52%

The model calculates 1.60 expected home goals for Brazil and 0.93 expected away goals for France

Form

No current team form data is available for this match

Statistics

No comprehensive season statistics or venue data are available for this match

Head-to-Head

No historical head-to-head matches between these teams are available in the dataset

Key Players

For Brazil, the following players stand out:

Raphinha scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.87

Vinicius Junior scored 4 goals in the last 5 games and achieved an average rating of 7.32

Casemiro contributed 2 goals in the last 5 games and had an average rating of 7.18

For France, the following players are notable:

Michael Olise shone in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 8.29

Ousmane Dembélé scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and had an average rating of 7.05

Adrien Rabiot scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and achieved an average rating of 7.50

Goalkeepers

Brazil is expected to start with Ederson in goal, who had an average rating of 7.00 in his last 5 games

For France, Mike Maignan will be in goal, with an average rating of 7.06 in his last 5 games

Influences

No specific venue statistics, surface, or weather data are available for this match

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