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Pro League

Al Ittihad - Al Hazm

04/03/2026, 04:15 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Ittihad
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Al Hazm
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:0

14%

1:1

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AIAH

Al Ittihad

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.27
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (1 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.17
Houssem Aouar on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Mahamadou DoumbiaĀ  not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

Al Hazm

Attack weakness (0.59x league average)
-1.02
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.06
FƔbio Martins not in squad (5 goals, 3 assists)
Omar Al-Somah not in squad (5 goals, 0 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 81% available)
Weak away record (0.8 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.53
+0.53
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

31%

Away Win

20%

Goals

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

80%

Away or Draw

50%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Al Ittihad with a 50% probability
  • Al Hazm shows high defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.81 goals per game
  • Al Ittihad's recent goal production has decreased to an average of 1.0 goals, contrasting with their season average of 1.58 goals
Risk Factors
  • Al Ittihad averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Al Hazm is without FĆ”bio Martins (5G/3A) and Omar Al-Somah (5G/0A) in the lineup, affecting 18% of their usual starting XI goal-scoring strength
  • Al Ittihad will play without Houssem Aouar (3G/2A) and Mahamadou Doumbia (1G/2A) in the starting lineup
Overview

Al Ittihad (6th place, 42 points) hosts Al Hazm (10th place, 31 points) in the Pro League match on April 3, 2026, 6:15 PM. Al Ittihad aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table.

Form

Al Ittihad shows a form of "DDWLL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from their last five matches across all competitions. The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses during this period. Al Hazm displays a form of "LDWLW", with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games. Al Ittihad suffered losses in their last two matches. Al Hazm won their last game.

Statistics

Al Ittihad has averaged 1.58 goals scored per game and conceded 1.31 goals this season. At home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. They kept 6 clean sheets. Al Hazm has scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.81 goals per game. Away from home, they scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.75 goals. Al Hazm recorded 2 clean sheets. In Al Ittihad's matches, both teams scored 15 times and there were over 2.5 goals in 12 matches. In Al Hazm's matches, both teams scored 17 times and there were over 2.5 goals in 17 matches.

Head-to-Head

In the three head-to-head matches between Al Ittihad and Al Hazm, Al Ittihad secured 1 win and there were 2 draws. Al Ittihad scored 6 goals, while Al Hazm scored 5 goals. The last encounter, on February 24, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Al Ittihad is classified as the recently dominant team in direct duels.

Key Players

For Al Ittihad, Muhannad Shanqeeti (Defender) with 3 goals and 6 assists, averaging a season rating of 6.92, Moussa Diaby (Attacker) with 2 goals and 6 assists and a 6.91 average rating, and Steven Bergwijn (Attacker) with 5 goals and 2 assists and a 6.98 average rating are key players.

For Al Hazm, Nawaf Al-Habashi (Midfielder) stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists (average rating 6.86). Aboubacar Bah (Midfielder) scored 2 goals and 2 assists (average rating 7.05), and Yousef Al-Shammari (Attacker) scored 3 times (average rating 6.72).

Goalkeepers

Al Ittihad's goalkeeper Predrag Rajković played 22 season matches with an average rating of 6.78 and kept 6 clean sheets.

Al Hazm's goalkeeper Ibrahim Zaied made 7 season appearances with an average rating of 6.98 and recorded 2 clean sheets.

Influences

Al Ittihad averages 1.5 goals scored at home and concedes 1.1 goals. Al Hazm averages 1.08 goals scored away and concedes 1.75 goals.

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