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Pro League

Al Ettifaq - Al-Qadsiah

04/05/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Al Ettifaq
1.0
Total xG
2.6
Al-Qadsiah
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
What influences the xG?
AEAL-

Al Ettifaq

Attack weakness (0.68x league average)
-0.92
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.09
João Costa not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)

Al-Qadsiah

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.44
Attack strength (1.31x league average)
+0.34
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3.2 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (3.2 vs 2.5 season average)
+0.22
Waleed Al-Ahmad not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (1.6 vs 2.5 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.54
+0.54
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

21%

Draw

27%

Away Win

52%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

48%

Away or Draw

79%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 52% probability of an away win for Al-Qadsiah
  • Al-Qadsiah's offensive strength is evident with an average of 2.42 away goals per game and 5.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Al Ettifaq's form is negative with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games
Risk Factors
  • Al Ettifaq conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 games, while their own goal production recently averaged 1.2 goals
  • Not in the lineup for Al Ettifaq: João Costa (0 Goals / 2 Assists)
  • Not in the lineup for Al-Qadsiah: Waleed Al-Ahmad (1 Goal / 1 Assist)
Overview

Al Ettifaq (7th place, 39 points) host Al-Qadsiah (4th place, 60 points) in the Pro League

The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 7:00 PM

Al-Qadsiah are fighting for the top spots, while Al Ettifaq are in the mid-table

Form

Al Ettifaq shows inconsistent form with WLLDL in their last five matches

This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last result was a loss

Al-Qadsiah, however, is in top form with WWDWW in their last five games

This means 4 wins and 1 draw, with their last two games won

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Al Ettifaq scored an average of 1.38 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.69 goals this season

At home, the average is 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded

They kept 7 clean sheets in 7 matches

Al-Qadsiah, on the other hand, is significantly stronger offensively with an average of 2.38 goals per game and only 0.96 goals conceded

Away from home, Al-Qadsiah scores 2.42 goals and concedes 1.25 goals per game

Al-Qadsiah achieved 8 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches between Al Ettifaq and Al-Qadsiah, Al Ettifaq has not secured a win

Al-Qadsiah won 2 matches and 1 draw was recorded

The goal difference of 1:7 is clearly in favor of Al-Qadsiah

The last encounter on February 23, 2026, ended with a clear 0:4 victory for Al-Qadsiah

Al-Qadsiah has dominated recent encounters

Key Players

For Al Ettifaq, Georginio Wijnaldum stands out with 12 goals and 5 assists in 25 appearances

Khalid Al-Ghannam contributed 9 goals and 4 assists in 24 games

Moussa Dembélé scored 5 goals and 1 assist in 14 matches

For Al-Qadsiah, Julián Quiñones is the top scorer with 24 goals and 2 assists in 23 appearances

Mateo Retegui has 15 goals in 25 games

Nahitan Nández was an important player with 7 goals and 7 assists in 25 games

Goalkeepers

Marek Rodák, Al Ettifaq's goalkeeper, recorded 7 clean sheets this season

On the opposing side, Koen Casteels of Al-Qadsiah achieved 8 clean sheets

Influences

Al Ettifaq scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded 1.29 goals in home matches

Al-Qadsiah proves to be a strong away team with 2.42 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per away game

No specific data on venue history, pitch surface, or weather conditions is available

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