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Pro League

NEOM SC - Al-Fayha

04/04/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
NEOM SC
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Al-Fayha
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
NSAL-

NEOM SC

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.63
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.07
Faris Abdi on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Rayane Messi not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

Al-Fayha

Attack weakness (0.67x league average)
-0.66
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.23
Rising form (2.2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.23
Fashion Sakala not in squad (11 goals, 4 assists)
26% of goal output missing (only 77% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.54
+0.54
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

33%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 38%
  • Al-Fayha shows better form with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games
  • NEOM SC averaged 5.2 shots on target in their last 5 games and is offensively strong
Risk Factors
  • Al-Fayha concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
  • Al-Fayha averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • NEOM SC's goal production is stagnant with an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.2
Overview

NEOM SC (8th place, 33 points) hosts Al-Fayha (9th place, 33 points)

Pro League match on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM

This is a direct duel in the midfield standings

Form

NEOM SC's form in the last 5 games is WDLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The last matchday ended in a draw for NEOM SC

Al-Fayha's form in the last 5 games is WDLWW

The team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Al-Fayha won the last match

Statistics

NEOM SC scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 1.38 goals per game

Al-Fayha scores an average of 1.31 times and concedes 1.58 goals

In home games, NEOM SC scores 1.15 goals and concedes 1.62 goals

Al-Fayha scores an average of 1.29 goals away, but concedes 1.93 goals

NEOM SC kept a clean sheet in 5 games, Al-Fayha in 7 matches

In NEOM SC's matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored in 14 games, and in Al-Fayha's in 15 games

Both teams scored in 16 games for NEOM SC and 14 games for Al-Fayha

Head-to-Head

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between NEOM SC and Al-Fayha so far

This single encounter ended in a 1:1 draw

The last match took place on February 25, 2026

The record is even, with each team scoring 1 goal

Key Players

For NEOM SC, Alexandre Lacazette is a key offensive player with 11 goals and 4 assists this season

SaĂŻd Benrahma contributed 5 goals and 5 assists

Luciano RodrĂ­guez showed rising form in the last 5 games with 1 goal

Not nominated are Faris Abdi (0T/2A) and Rayane Messi (1T/1A)

For Al-Fayha, Jason is an important offensive figure with 4 goals and 8 assists

Y. Benzia scored 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Alfa Semedo scored 2 goals in the last 5 games

Not nominated is Fashion Sakala (11T/4A)

Goalkeepers

LuĂ­s Maximiano is the goalkeeper for NEOM SC and achieved 5 clean sheets this season

Orlando Mosquera guards Al-Fayha's goal and kept 7 clean sheets

LuĂ­s Maximiano shows a rising form trend in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.08

Orlando Mosquera has a stable form with a rating of 6.80 in the last 5 matches

Influences

NEOM SC scores an average of 1.15 goals at home

At the same time, NEOM SC concedes an average of 1.62 goals in home games

Al-Fayha scores an average of 1.29 goals away

However, the away team also concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game

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