Pro League
Al Hilal - Al Taawoun
04/04/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.4
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
12%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Al Hilal
Al Taawoun
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
60%
Draw
26%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 60% for Al Hilal
- Al Hilal is undefeated in the league and has won their last three games, in contrast to Al Taawoun's mixed form
- In head-to-head matches, Al Hilal has won 4 of the last 5 encounters with a clear goal difference of 10:1
Risk Factors
- Roger MartĂÂnez (20G/2A) is missing for Al Taawoun, leaving only 67% of their usual goal threat available
- Al Hilal's recent goal production has slightly decreased (2.4 goals in recent games compared to 2.58 season average)
- Al Taawoun has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent matches, which is above their season average of 1.27 goals conceded
Overview
Al Hilal (2nd place, 64 points) host Al Taawoun (5th place, 45 points) in the Pro League. The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 9:00 PM. Al Hilal remains undefeated and aims to maintain pressure on league leaders Al Nassr
Form
Al Hilal shows good form: DDWWW. This corresponds to 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses from the last five matches. The team has won their last three games in a row. Al Taawoun presents mixed form: LDDWD, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their last game ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Al Hilal averages 2.58 goals scored per game and concedes 0.88 goals. At home, they score 2.5 goals while conceding 0.75 goals. Al Taawoun averages 1.81 goals scored and concedes 1.27 goals. Away from home, they score 1.75 goals but concede 1.33 goals per game. Al Hilal has achieved 11 clean sheets and 16 matches with over 2.5 goals. Al Taawoun has 6 clean sheets and 13 matches with over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 15 of Al Hilal's games and 16 of Al Taawoun's games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, Al Hilal dominates with 4 wins and one draw. The goal difference in favor of Al Hilal is 10:1. The last encounter on February 24, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
For Al Hilal, Marcos Leonardo (10 goals, 1 assist), Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira (7 goals, 8 assists), and RĂșben Neves (9 goals, 5 assists) are crucial players. Marcos Leonardo and RĂșben Neves show declining form, Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira shows stable form. Not nominated for Al Hilal are Salem Al-Dawsari (7G/8A), Sergej Milinkovic-Savic (6G/4A), and Karim Benzema (5G/1A). For Al Taawoun, Angelo Fulgini (3 goals, 9 assists), Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi (3 goals, 5 assists), and Marin Petkov (1 goal, 1 assist) stand out. Angelo Fulgini and Marin Petkov have a declining form trend, Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi has a stable form
Goalkeepers
For Al Hilal, Yassine Bounou is in goal, with an average season rating of 6.79. Al Hilal has achieved 11 clean sheets. For Al Taawoun, Mailson is the goalkeeper with a season rating of 6.99. Al Taawoun has recorded 6 clean sheets
Influences
Al Hilal benefits from their home strength with an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded in home games. Al Taawoun concedes an average of 1.33 goals per away game. Al Hilal has shown a possession-dominant style in their last 5 games with an average of 59% possession and 6.4 shots on target. Al Taawoun has played a balanced style with an average of 50% possession and 3.8 shots on target