🇸🇦

Pro League

Al Kholood - Al Khaleej

04/03/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Al Kholood
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Al Khaleej
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

13%

0:2

9%

1:0

9%
What influences the xG?
AKAK

Al Kholood

Attack weakness (0.38x league average)
-1.03
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.01
Ramiro Enrique not in squad (15 goals, 0 assists)
47% of goal output missing (only 82% available)

Al Khaleej

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.29
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.29
Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.28
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.53
+0.53
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

24%

Draw

32%

Away Win

43%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57%

Away or Draw

76%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 43% win probability for Al Khaleej and a 76% chance of an away win or a draw
  • Al Kholood shows high defensive vulnerability at home, conceding an average of 2.55 goals per home game
  • Al Khaleej has a solid offense this season, scoring an average of 1.69 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Al Khaleej's goal production has significantly decreased recently, averaging 0.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.76 goals
  • Al Khaleej concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
  • Al Khaleej averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview

Al Kholood (14th place, 25 points) host Al Khaleej (11th place, 30 points) in the Pro League on April 3, 2026, 4:00 PM. The hosts are fighting for survival, while Al Khaleej aims to stabilize in mid-table.

Form

Al Kholood's form in their last five games is LWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This reflects 2 wins and 3 losses

Their most recent match ended in a loss

Al Khaleej's form in their last five games is LLLWL

This indicates 1 win and 4 losses

Al Khaleej's last game also resulted in a loss

The recent form trend for Al Kholood is stable according to advanced stats

Al Khaleej's form trend is described as negative

Statistics

Al Kholood has scored an average of 1.31 goals per game this season and conceded 1.85 goals

At home, Al Kholood scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes an alarming 2.55 goals per home game

They kept a clean sheet in only 1 home game

Al Khaleej scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and concedes 1.69 goals

Away from home, Al Khaleej scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes 2.08 goals per away game

They have kept 0 clean sheets in away games

Both teams scored in 14 of Al Kholood's games, and in 17 of Al Khaleej's games

The overall statistics suggest games with over 2.5 goals (Al Kholood 18 times, Al Khaleej 17 times)

Head-to-Head

In the 3 head-to-head matches played, Al Kholood secured 2 wins and Al Khaleej secured 1 win

There have been no draws between these two teams

Al Kholood scored 5 goals in these encounters, while Al Khaleej scored 4 goals

The last match on February 24, 2026, was won by Al Kholood with a 3-2 away victory

Key Players

For Al Kholood, Hattan Bahebri (5 goals, 3 assists) with a rising form trend and an average rating of 7.21 in the last 5 games, John Buckley (2 goals, 4 assists) with an average rating of 7.01 in the last 5 games, and Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa (3 goals, 2 assists) with an average rating of 6.55 in the last 5 games are crucial

For Al Khaleej, Konstantinos Fortounis (9 goals, 11 assists) with an average rating of 7.70 in the last 5 games, Georgios Masouras (11 goals, 2 assists) with 1 goal in the last 5 games, and Paolo Fernandes (3 goals, 2 assists) with 1 goal in the last 5 games stand out

Goalkeepers

Al Kholood's goalkeeper, Juan Pablo Cozzani, played 25 games and has an average rating of 6.92

Al Kholood managed to keep 3 clean sheets this season

Anthony Moris, Al Khaleej's goalkeeper, appeared in 26 games and has an average rating of 7.03

Al Khaleej also managed to keep 3 clean sheets this season

Influences

Al Kholood conceded an average of 2.55 goals per home game, highlighting their defensive vulnerability at their own stadium

Al Khaleej scores an average of 1.75 goals away from home and concedes 2.08 goals per away game

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.