Pro League
Al Okhdoud - Al Fateh
04/05/2026, 03:55 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.6
1.6
1:1
14%0:2
10%1:2
9%2:1
6%0:3
5%What influences the xG?
Al Okhdoud
Al Fateh
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
28%
Away Win
49%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
51%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Al Fateh is favored with a win probability of 49%
- Al Fateh is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
- Al Fateh has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
Risk Factors
- Al Akhdoud scores an average of only 0.82 goals per home game
- Al Fateh concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game
- Al Akhdoud averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Al Akhdoud (17th place, 13 points) hosts Al Fateh (13th place, 28 points) in the Pro League on April 5, 2026, 5:55 PM. The home team is fighting against relegation and desperately needs points. Al Fateh is trying to distance itself further from the relegation zone.
Form
Al Akhdoud shows poor form with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last five games (LLWLL). Their last match ended in a loss. Al Fateh has achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games (LWDLL). Their last result was also a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Al Akhdoud scores an average of 0.85 goals per game this season and concedes an average of 2.19 goals. At home, they score 0.82 and concede 1.88 goals per game. The team kept 2 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 14 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 games. Al Fateh averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded per game this season. Away from home, they score 1.27 and concede 2.09 goals on average. They kept 4 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 18 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 games.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud secured 1 win, Al Fateh won 3 times, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference is 7:10 in favor of Al Fateh. The last encounter on February 23, 2026, saw Al Fateh win 2:1 away. Al Fateh has been the more dominant side in recent meetings.
Key Players
For Al Akhdoud, Christian Bassogog with 3 goals and 5 assists this season, Saeed Al-Rubaie with 4 goals and 1 assist, and Khaled Narey with 3 goals and 1 assist are key players. Christian Bassogog showed stable form in his last 5 games with 2 goals and 1 assist. Saeed Al-Rubaie improved his form with 2 goals in his last 5 games. For Al Fateh, Mourad Batna with 8 goals and 8 assists, Sofiane Bendebka with 6 goals and 1 assist, and Wesley Delgado with 2 goals and 3 assists stand out. Mourad Batna is in rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Sofiane Bendebka also shows rising form with 2 goals in his last 5 games. Wesley Delgado contributed 2 assists in his last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Samuel Portugal of Al Akhdoud made 21 appearances this season and showed stable form in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.10. His team kept 2 clean sheets. Fernando Pacheco of Al Fateh played 24 times and his form declined in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.40. His team achieved 4 clean sheets.
Influences
Al Akhdoud's low home goal average of 0.82 goals per game could be a limiting factor. Al Fateh concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game, indicating a defensive weakness.