Pro League
Al Najma - Al Taawoun
04/23/2026, 04:10 PM
Expected Goals
0.7
2.0
1.3
0:1
15%0:0
15%1:1
14%0:2
11%1:0
8%What influences the xG?
Al Najma
Al Taawoun
League
The Lab
- 1Al Najma: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Al Najma with Abdulaziz Al-Harabi: 2.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Al Taawoun: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Al Taawoun: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
20%
Draw
32%
Away Win
48%
Goals
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
52%
Away or Draw
80%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Key Factors
- League Position: Al Taawoun sits in 5th place with 46 points, while Al Najma is last with only 11 points
- Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts an away win with approximately 48% probability and 1.28 expected away goals
- Offensive Efficiency: Al Taawoun scores an average of 1.79 goals per game this season, compared to Al Najma's 0.96 goals
Risk Factors
- Al Najma's Offensive Weakness: Al Najma recorded an average of 3.4 shots on target per game in their last 5 matches
- Al Najma's Defense: Al Najma concedes an average of 1.78 goals per home game
Overview
Al Najma (18th place, 11 points) hosts Al Taawoun (5th place, 46 points) in the Pro League on April 23, 2026, 5:10 PM
Al Taawoun enters the match as clear favorites and is fighting for a top spot in the league
Al Najma is at the bottom of the table and battling against relegation
Form
Al Najma's current form is LLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches
Al Najma won their last game 2-1 against NEOM SC
Al Taawoun's form is DWDDL
This translates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five encounters
In their last match, Al Taawoun lost 1-2 against Al Kholood
Statistics
Al Najma scored an average of 0.96 goals per game this season and conceded 2.39 goals
At home, Al Najma's goal average is 0.94 goals, while they conceded 1.78 goals
For Al Najma, 19 games ended with both teams scoring and 20 games with over 2.5 goals
Al Taawoun scored an average of 1.79 goals per game and conceded 1.32 goals
Away, Al Taawoun's goal average is 1.77 goals, and they conceded 1.38 goals
For Al Taawoun, both teams scored in 18 games, and 15 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Al Najma and Al Taawoun so far
Al Taawoun won this single match, while Al Najma remained winless
The goal difference is 1:0 in favor of Al Taawoun
The last encounter took place on December 29, 2025, which Al Taawoun won 1-0
Key Players
For Al Najma, Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos is a key player, having scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists in his last 5 games, with rising form (season: 3 goals, 4 assists)
LƔzaro contributed 6 goals and 1 assist this season, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games, his form is stable
Bilal Boutobba scored 1 goal in his last 5 games (season: 3 goals, 2 assists), his form is stable
David Tijanic, who contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season, is not nominated
For Al Taawoun, Roger MartĆnez is the top scorer with 20 season goals and 2 assists, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 games with stable form
Angelo Fulgini showed 3 goals and 9 assists this season, with 1 assist in the last 5 games and declining form
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games (season: 3 goals, 6 assists), his form is stable
Goalkeepers
Al Najma's goalkeeper, Victor Braga, kept 2 clean sheets in 26 appearances
Mailson, Al Taawoun's goalkeeper, kept 6 clean sheets in 27 appearances
Influences
Al Najma showed an offensive performance of an average of 0.94 goals at home and a defense that conceded 1.78 goals
Al Taawoun scored an average of 1.77 goals away and conceded 1.38 goals
No data on venue history or weather is available