Pro League
Al-Fayha - Al Ahli
04/08/2026, 03:55 PM
Expected Goals
0.7
2.0
1.3
0:1
15%0:0
15%1:1
14%0:2
11%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
Al-Fayha
Al Ahli
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
20%
Draw
32%
Away Win
48%
Goals
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
52%
Away or Draw
80%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Key Factors
- Prediction: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 20% and an away win of 48% for Al Ahli
- Head-to-Head: Al Ahli has won all 5 previous encounters against Al-Fayha with a goal difference of 13:0
- Defensive strength: Al Ahli boasts a very strong away defense, conceding only 0.7 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Al-Fayha in the last 5 games: Avg 3.2 shots on target (average)
Overview
Al-Fayha (9th place, 33 points) host Al Ahli (3rd place, 65 points) in the Pro League. The match takes place on April 8, 2026, 6:55 PM. Al Ahli continue to challenge for the top positions, while Al-Fayha are in the mid-table.
Form
Al-Fayha's form in the last five games is DLWWL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match was a 0-1 loss against NEOM SC. Al Ahli are in better form with WWWLW in their last five games, recording 4 wins and 1 loss. They won their last match 3-0 against Damac FC.
Statistics
Al-Fayha average 1.26 goals scored per game and concede 1.56 goals per game this season. In home games, their average is 1.23 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded, with 6 home clean sheets. Al Ahli show a stronger offense with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game and a very stable defense conceding only 0.7 goals on average. Away from home, Al Ahli average 1.9 goals scored and concede 0.7 goals, with 10 away clean sheets. For Al-Fayha, over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 games, while for Al Ahli, this occurred in 13 games.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 previous head-to-head matches, Al Ahli completely dominated, winning all 5 games. Al-Fayha has not managed to win a single encounter so far. The goal difference is a clear 13:0 in favor of Al Ahli. The last meeting on December 30, 2025, ended with a 2-0 victory for Al Ahli.
Key Players
For Al-Fayha, Fashion Sakala is an important attacking player with 11 goals and 4 assists this season, scoring 1 goal and providing 1 assist in the last 5 games. Jason contributes 4 goals and 8 assists to the offense, with 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games. Y. Benzia, whose form is rising, contributed 3 goals and 4 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches. For Al Ahli, Ivan Toney is the top scorer with 26 goals and 6 assists, with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Riyad Mahrez scored 4 goals and 7 assists, with 2 goals in the last 5 games. Galeno shone with 1 goal and 7 assists, with 4 assists coming in the last 5 matches.
Goalkeepers
Al-Fayha's goalkeeper, Orlando Mosquera, kept 7 clean sheets this season. On the opposing side, Al Ahli's goalkeeper, Edouard Mendy, recorded an impressive 15 clean sheets.
Influences
Al-Fayha average 1.23 goals scored at home and concede 1.08 goals. Al Ahli show strong away performance with an average of 1.9 goals scored and only 0.7 goals conceded per away game.