Pro League
Al Hazm - Al Riyadh
04/24/2026, 04:10 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Al Hazm
Al Riyadh
League
The Lab
- 1Al Riyadh with Enes Sali: 2.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Al Hazm with Abdurahman Al-Dakheel: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Al Hazm: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Al Hazm: 45% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (5 of 11)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
29%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis: Al Hazm has the highest win probability at 47% and is predicted to score 1.54 expected goals
- Al Hazm's offensive strength: The home team is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals), indicating a positive trend
- Al Riyadh's defensive weakness: The away team concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game, pointing to significant vulnerability
Risk Factors
- Al Riyadh's rising form: The away team is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.0 goals)
- Mutual defensive vulnerabilities: The model predicts a 53% probability for both teams to score
Overview
Al Hazm (10th place, 34 points) host Al Riyadh (16th place, 23 points) in the Pro League on April 24, 2026, 7:10 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle.
Form
Al Hazm's recent form is WLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Their last match ended in a win. Al Riyadh's form is LLWDW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 encounters. Al Riyadh also won their last match.
Statistics
Al Hazm scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.71 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded. Al Riyadh scores 1.04 goals per game across the league and concedes 1.86 goals. Al Riyadh's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.36 goals. Al Hazm recorded 3 clean sheets, Al Riyadh 2. For Al Hazm, over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 matches, for Al Riyadh in 14 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hazm secured 1 win, while Al Riyadh remained winless. 2 encounters ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:2 in favor of Al Hazm. The last meeting on December 29, 2025, ended with a 2:1 victory for Al Hazm.
Key Players
For Al Hazm, Fábio Martins (5 goals, 3 assists) with rising form and Omar Al-Somah (6 goals, 0 assists) as the top scorer are crucial. Nawaf Al-Habashi (4 goals, 2 assists) also shows rising form. Not nominated for Al Hazm is Yousef Al-Shammari (4G/0A). For Al Riyadh, Tozé is the most effective player with 7 goals and 4 assists. Leandro Antunes has scored 6 goals, with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Teddy Okou shines with 1 goal and 6 assists, and his form is stable.
Goalkeepers
Ibrahim Zaied of Al Hazm has played 8 games this season. Al Hazm has recorded 3 clean sheets. Milan Borjan of Al Riyadh has played in 28 matches. Al Riyadh achieved 2 clean sheets.
Influences
Al Hazm scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.62 goals. Al Riyadh concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game.