Pro League
Damac FC - Al Okhdoud
04/23/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
10%2:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Damac FC
Al Okhdoud
League
The Lab
- 1Al Akhdoud with Muath Fagihy: 1.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Al Akhdoud: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3Damac FC with Jamal Harkass: 1.2 goals/90 min. Without: 4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Damac FC: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
29%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Damac FC with a 49% probability and 1.49 expected goals
- Al Akhdoud's away defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game
- Damac FC has secured 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 direct encounters against Al Akhdoud
Risk Factors
- Al Akhdoud averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Limited data available for venue history and weather conditions
Overview
Damac FC (15th place, 23 points) hosts Al Akhdoud (17th place, 16 points) in a Pro League match on April 23, 2026, 7:00 PM
Both teams are in a relegation battle at the lower end of the table, looking to secure crucial points
Form
Damac FC's form in their last five matches across all competitions is DWWLD
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last match result was a draw
Al Akhdoud's form in their last five matches across all competitions is WLLWL
This indicates 2 wins and 3 losses
The last match result was a loss
Damac FC's form regarding goals scored is positive, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to 1.0 season average
Al Akhdoud's form is stable, with consistent ~0.8 goals per game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Damac FC averages 0.89 goals scored per game and concedes 1.64 goals
In home games, they score 0.87 goals and concede 1.2 goals per game
The team kept 4 clean sheets in total, with 3 at home
Both teams scored in 18 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 matches
Al Akhdoud averages 0.82 goals scored per game and concedes 2.11 goals
In away games, they score 0.8 goals and concede an average of 2.5 goals
The team kept 3 clean sheets in total, with 1 away
Both teams scored in 14 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Damac FC has secured 4 victories, while Al Akhdoud has no wins
There has been 1 draw between the two teams
Damac FC scored a total of 8 goals, Al Akhdoud 2 goals
The last encounter on December 30, 2025, resulted in a 1-0 away win for Damac FC
Key Players
ValentĂn Vada (Midfielder) is a key player for Damac FC with 10 season goals and 3 assists, holding an average rating of 7.31
Yakou Méïté (Attacker) contributed 4 season goals with an average rating of 6.71
Jonathan Okita (Attacker) has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season, with an average rating of 6.68
Christian Bassogog (Attacker) is a crucial player for Al Akhdoud with 3 season goals and 6 assists, and an average rating of 6.91
Saeed Al-Rubaie (Defender) has scored 4 season goals and provided 1 assist, with an average rating of 6.76
Gökhan GĂŒl (Midfielder) contributed 1 goal and 3 assists, with an average rating of 6.7
Not nominated: Abdulaziz Al-Hatila (3G/1A), Saleh Al-Abbas (1G/1A)
Goalkeepers
Kewin is Damac FC's goalkeeper, featuring in 28 season appearances and keeping 4 clean sheets
Samuel Portugal is Al Akhdoud's goalkeeper, appearing in 23 season matches and keeping 3 clean sheets
Samuel Portugal shows a positive form trend
Influences
Damac FC scores an average of 0.87 goals per home game, while Al Akhdoud concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game