Pro League
Al Nassr - Al Ettifaq
04/15/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.6
3.3
0.7
2:0
13%3:0
11%2:1
9%3:1
7%1:1
7%What influences the xG?
Al Nassr
Al Ettifaq
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
78%
Draw
16%
Away Win
6%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
94%
Away or Draw
22%
No Draw
84%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Al Nassr is a clear favorite with a home win probability of 78% according to mathematical analysis
- Al Nassr currently scores more frequently (3.2 goals) than their season average (2.8 goals) and shows a positive form trend
- Al Ettifaq's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Al Ettifaq's goal production is currently stagnant (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.6 goals)
- The head-to-head record over recent years shows an even balance
Overview
Al Nassr (1st place, 73 points) hosts Al Ettifaq (7th place, 42 points) in a Pro League match on April 15, 2026, 6:00 PM. The home team leads the league, while the visitors are in the mid-table. Al Nassr aims to further extend its lead at the top of the standings.
Form
Al Nassr is in excellent form with a record of WWWWW
This equates to 5 wins and 0 draws in their last 5 matches
Their last game was a 2-0 away win against Al Akhdoud
Al Ettifaq has a form of LDLWL
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Al Ettifaq recently lost 2-3 at home against Al Riyadh
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Al Nassr averages 2.79 goals scored per game this season and concedes 0.75 goals
At home, Al Nassr averages 2.71 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded
The team kept 15 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 19 matches
Al Ettifaq averages 1.46 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals
Away from home, Al Ettifaq averages 1.45 goals scored and concedes 2.36 goals
Al Ettifaq kept 7 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 17 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Nassr recorded 2 wins and Al Ettifaq also had 2 wins
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 11:8 in favor of Al Nassr
The last encounter on December 30, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
Recent head-to-head results show an even record
Key Players
For Al Nassr, Cristiano Ronaldo, João Félix, and Sadio Mané are key players
Cristiano Ronaldo scored 24 goals and provided 2 assists this season
JoĂŁo FĂ©lix scored 16 goals and delivered 11 assists
Sadio Mané was involved in 9 goals and 5 assists
For Al Ettifaq, Georginio Wijnaldum, Khalid Al-Ghannam, and Moussa Dembélé are important players
Georginio Wijnaldum scored 14 goals and provided 6 assists
Khalid Al-Ghannam contributed with 10 goals and 4 assists
Moussa Dembélé recorded 6 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Al Nassr's goalkeeper, Bento, made 15 appearances this season
Al Nassr kept 15 clean sheets this season
Al Ettifaq's goalkeeper Marek RodĂĄk played in 28 matches
Al Ettifaq achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Influences
Al Nassr shows a strong home performance with an average of 2.71 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded in home games
These figures indicate a clear home advantage