🇾🇩

Pro League

Al Hilal - Al Kholood

04/08/2026, 06:00 PM

6 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Hilal
1.8
Total xG
2.4
Al Kholood
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

14%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AHAK

Al Hilal

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.64
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 14, 12 places gap)
+0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
-0.01
Marcos Leonardo on the bench (11 goals, 1 assists)

Al Kholood

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.13
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.13
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 2, 12 places gap)
-0.09
Ramiro Enrique not in squad (15 goals, 0 assists)
37% of goal output missing (only 86% available)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.53
+0.53
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

87%

Away or Draw

38%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Strong favoritism: Mathematical analysis predicts a Win for Al Hilal with 62%
  • Form disparity: Al Hilal is unbeaten in 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Al Kholood suffered 2 losses in their last 5 games
  • Tactical difference: Al Hilal showed 58.20% possession and an average of 6.00 shots on target in their last 5 games. Al Kholood averaged 44.20% possession and 3.60 shots on target in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
  • Limited data on duels won in the last 5 matches
Overview

Al Hilal (2nd Place, 65 Points) host Al Kholood (14th Place, 26 Points)

Pro League match on April 08, 2026, 9:00 PM

Al Hilal are clear favorites with a 62% Win probability

Form

Current Form of both teams:

Al Hilal: DWWWD (3 Win, 2 Draw, 0 Loss)

Al Kholood: WWLLD (2 Win, 1 Draw, 2 Loss)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Al Hilal is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, showing stable Form with 3 Wins and 2 Draws

Al Kholood has achieved 2 Wins, 1 Draw, and 2 Losses in their last 5 matches

Statistics

Al Hilal scores an average of 2.56 Goals per game and concedes 0.93 Goals conceded

Al Kholood scores an average of 1.33 Goals per game and concedes 1.85 Goals conceded

Al Hilal kept a Clean sheet in 11 matches, Al Kholood in 3 matches

Both teams scored in 16 matches of Al Hilal and in 15 matches of Al Kholood

Al Hilal's matches had over 2.5 Goals 17 times, Al Kholood's matches 19 times

The model predicts 'Both Teams To Score' at 42% and 'Over 2.5 Goals' at 44%

Based on advanced statistics, Al Hilal scores consistently (2.56 goals per game)

Al Kholood is currently scoring more frequently (1.80) than their season average (1.38)

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hilal leads with 3 Wins against 0 for Al Kholood

There have been 0 Draws

The goal difference is 12:4 in favor of Al Hilal

The last encounter on December 31, 2025, 8:30 PM resulted in a Win for Al Hilal (3:1)

Key Players

Key players for Al Hilal:

Karim Benzema (Attacker): 5 goals, 1 assist this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 409 Min, 5 Tore, 1 Assist, Trend: stable

RĂșben Neves (Midfielder): 9 goals, 6 assists this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 246 Min, 0 Tore, 0 Assists, Trend: declining

Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira (Attacker): 7 goals, 8 assists this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 301 Min, 1 Tor, 0 Assists, Trend: declining

Key players for Al Kholood:

Hattan Bahebri (Attacker): 5 goals, 5 assists this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 379 Min, 2 Tore, 3 Assists, Trend: rising

Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa (Attacker): 4 goals, 2 assists this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 376 Min, 1 Tor, 1 Assist, Trend: stable

Mohammed Sawaan (Attacker): 2 goals, 3 assists this season. Current form: 5/5 Spielen, 186 Min, 0 Tore, 2 Assists, Trend: stable

Goalkeepers

Al Hilal's Goalkeeper, Yassine Bounou, has recorded 11 Clean sheets this season

Al Kholood's Goalkeeper, Juan Pablo Cozzani, achieved 3 Clean sheets

Yassine Bounou shows stable form with a trend of 0.11 in the last 5 games' rating

Juan Pablo Cozzani's form is declining, with a trend of -0.43 in the last 5 games' rating

Influences

Al Hilal scored 32 goals in home games and conceded 11 goals

Al Kholood scored 20 goals in away games and conceded 20 goals

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.