Pro League
Al Ittihad - NEOM SC
04/08/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:0
7%What influences the xG?
Al Ittihad
NEOM SC
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
34%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Al Ittihad is positioned 6th in the table with 45 points, while NEOM SC is 8th with 36 points
- The mathematical analysis predicts the highest probability for a home win by Al Ittihad at 36%
- Al Ittihad won the only head-to-head match against NEOM SC with a score of 3-1
Risk Factors
- NEOM SC is missing Alexandre Lacazette (11 goals, 4 assists) and Nathan Zézê (2 goals, 1 assist), which means only 70% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat is available
- Both teams show a declining goal production according to Advanced Stats, Al Ittihad (1.0 goals) and NEOM SC (1.0 goals) are below their season averages (1.6 and 1.2)
Overview
Al Ittihad (6th place, 45 points) host NEOM SC (8th place, 36 points) in the Pro League. The match takes place on April 8, 2026, 9:00 PM. Al Ittihad aims to defend its position in the upper half of the table
Form
Al Ittihad's form in the last 5 matches is DWLLW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Al Ittihad recently won 1-0 against Al Hazm
NEOM SC's form in the last 5 matches is DLLDW, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
NEOM SC recently won 1-0 against Al-Fayha
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Al Ittihad has scored an average of 1.56 goals per game and conceded 1.26 goals per game this season
At home, Al Ittihad scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.1 goals
NEOM SC has scored an average of 1.19 goals per game and conceded 1.33 goals per game this season
Away from home, NEOM SC scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.15 goals
For Al Ittihad, both teams scored in 15 games and there were over 2.5 goals in 12 games
For NEOM SC, both teams scored in 16 games and there were over 2.5 goals in 14 games
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far
Al Ittihad won this match on December 31, 2025, away with a score of 3-1 against NEOM SC
Key Players
For Al Ittihad, Muhannad Shanqeeti (3 goals, 6 assists), Steven Bergwijn (5 goals, 2 assists), and Houssem Aouar (3 goals, 3 assists) are important
Muhannad Shanqeeti shows stable form with an average of 0.16 goals per 90 minutes this season
Steven Bergwijn has a declining form, with 0 goals in the last 5 matches
Houssem Aouar has a declining form, but contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches
For NEOM SC, Saïd Benrahma (5 goals, 6 assists), Luciano Rodríguez (5 goals, 1 assist), and Abdoulaye Doucouré (0 goals, 2 assists) are noteworthy
Saïd Benrahma shows stable form, with 3 assists in the last 5 matches
Luciano Rodríguez has a rising form and scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Abdoulaye Doucouré shows stable form and contributed 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Goalkeepers
For Al Ittihad, Predrag Rajković starts, who achieved 7 clean sheets this season
For NEOM SC, Luís Maximiano starts, who achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Luís Maximiano shows a rising form
Influences
Al Ittihad scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.1 goals in home games
NEOM SC scored an average of 1.23 goals and conceded 1.15 goals in away games