Pro League
Al Fateh - Al Khaleej
04/24/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.5
1.2
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
9%2:1
8%0:1
8%What influences the xG?
Al Fateh
Al Khaleej
League
The Lab
- 1Al Fateh with Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi: 2.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Al Khaleej with Abdullah Al-Hafith: 2.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Al Fateh: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)
- 4Al Fateh: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Al Khaleej: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
30%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis indicates a higher home win probability of 38% for Al Fateh, compared to Al Khaleej's 32%
- Al Fateh's tactical metrics show an average of 5.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating offensive strength
- Al Khaleej concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game, representing a defensive vulnerability
Risk Factors
- Al Fateh's goal production is currently stalled at 1.0 goals per game, below their season average of 1.3
- Al Khaleej's goal production is currently stalled at 1.2 goals per game, below their season average of 1.8
Overview
Al Fateh (14th place, 28 points) hosts Al Khaleej (11th place, 31 points) in a Pro League encounter on April 24, 2026, 5:45 PM local time. Both teams are in the lower mid-table. Al Fateh is fighting to close the gap, while Al Khaleej aims to further distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Al Fateh's form in the last five games is WDL LL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
They have suffered three consecutive losses recently
Al Khaleej's form in the last five games is LLWLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Al Khaleej's last match ended in a draw
Statistics
Al Fateh averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Al Fateh averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per home game
Al Khaleej averages 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home, Al Khaleej averages 1.77 goals scored and 2.08 goals conceded per away game
Al Fateh recorded 4 clean sheets, while Al Khaleej achieved 3 clean sheets
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 13 of Al Fateh's matches and in 18 of Al Khaleej's matches
Head-to-Head
In five head-to-head matches, Al Fateh secured three wins and Al Khaleej had two wins
Al Fateh scored a total of 11 goals, while Al Khaleej scored 6 goals
Al Fateh won the last encounter 1-0 on December 29, 2025
Key Players
For Al Fateh, Mourad Batna (8 goals, 8 assists, Avg 7.35 rating), Matías Vargas (7 goals, 2 assists, Avg 7.04 rating), and Sofiane Bendebka (6 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.99 rating) are key offensive players
Mourad Batna showed strong form in the last five games with 4 goals and 1 assist (Avg 7.48 rating)
Sofiane Bendebka improved his rating to Avg 7.30 in the last five games
For Al Khaleej, Konstantinos Fortounis (10 goals, 11 assists, Avg 7.94 rating), Joshua King (14 goals, 2 assists, Avg 7.21 rating), and Georgios Masouras (12 goals, 2 assists, Avg 7.08 rating) are crucial players
Konstantinos Fortounis scored 2 goals in the last five games, Joshua King 1 goal, and Georgios Masouras 2 goals
Wesley Delgado (2G/3A) is not in Al Fateh's starting lineup
Goalkeepers
Al Fateh's goalkeeper, Fernando Pacheco, has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
Al Khaleej's goalkeeper, Anthony Moris, recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Al Fateh averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded at home
Al Khaleej averages 1.77 goals scored and 2.08 goals conceded away