Pro League
Al-Qadsiah - Al Shabab
04/14/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.5
0.8
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Al-Qadsiah
Al Shabab
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
28%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- Al-Qadsiah's strong home record with an average of 2.36 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded per home game
- The mathematical analysis favors Al-Qadsiah with a home win probability of 55%
- Al Shabab shows offensive strength in the last 5 games with an average of 7.0 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Al-Qadsiah conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game recently, compared to 1.07 on season average
- Al Shabab shows a positive attacking form trend, with an average of 2.33 expected goals (xG) in recent games versus 1.48 on season average
Overview
Al-Qadsiah (4th place, 61 points) host Al Shabab (12th place, 30 points) in the Pro League on April 14, 2026, 8:00 PM
The home team aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table
Al Shabab seeks to distance themselves from the relegation zone and collect more points
Form
Al-Qadsiah's last five games show a form of DWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last match ended in a draw
Al Shabab has a form of WLDWD in their last five matches
They achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last game also ended in a draw
Statistics
Al-Qadsiah has scored an average of 2.32 goals per game this season and conceded 1.04 goals
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 2.36 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded per home game
They kept 8 clean sheets, 6 of which were at home
Both teams scored in 19 games, and 19 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Al Shabab averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.48 goals conceded per match
Away from home, their average is 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per away game
They recorded 7 clean sheets this season, with 3 coming in away matches
15 games saw both teams score, and 10 games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadsiah secured 2 wins, while Al Shabab won 1 game
There have been no draws between the two teams
Al-Qadsiah scored a total of 6 goals, compared to Al Shabab's 5 goals
Al-Qadsiah won the last encounter on December 31, 2025, with a score of 3:2
Key Players
For Al-Qadsiah, Julián Quiñones with 26 goals and 2 assists, and Mateo Retegui with 15 goals are crucial
Musab Al-Juwayr contributed 3 goals and 10 assists
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat (0G/7A) and Julian Weigl (1G/3A) are not nominated, representing 92% of the usual starting eleven strength
For Al Shabab, Yannick Carrasco stands out with 15 goals and 6 assists
Abderrazak Hamdallah scored 5 goals and 1 assist, Saad Balobaid 1 goal and 4 assists
Josh Brownhill (5G/2A) is not nominated, which means 84% of the usual starting eleven strength
Goalkeepers
Koen Casteels guards the goal for Al-Qadsiah, having played 26 games with an average rating of 6.95
Al-Qadsiah achieved 8 clean sheets, 6 of which were in home games
Marcelo Grohe was in goal for Al Shabab in 26 games, achieving an average rating of 6.72
Al Shabab kept 7 clean sheets, 3 of them in away matches
Influences
Al-Qadsiah's home strength is evident with an average of 2.36 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded per home game