Pro League
Al Okhdoud - Al Nassr
04/11/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.6
3.3
2.7
0:2
14%0:3
12%0:4
8%1:2
8%1:3
7%What influences the xG?
Al Okhdoud
Al Nassr
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
5%
Draw
14%
Away Win
81%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
19%
Away or Draw
95%
No Draw
86%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 81% probability and 2.70 expected goals for Al Nassr
- Al Nassr is in excellent form with five consecutive wins, while Al Akhdoud has only two wins in their last five games
- Al Nassr dominated all 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 21:3 and shows offensive strength with an average of 9.8 shots on target according to tactical metrics
Overview
Al Akhdoud (17th place, 16 points) host Al Nassr (1st place, 70 points) in the Pro League
The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 8:00 PM
Al Nassr is fighting for the top spot, while Al Akhdoud battles relegation
Form
Al Akhdoud's form across all competitions: LWLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) with a win in their last match
Al Nassr shows perfect form: WWWWW (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) and is unbeaten in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Al Akhdoud scores an average of 0.85 goals per game and concedes 2.11 goals
They kept 3 clean sheets this season
In 14 matches, both teams scored, and 15 games had over 2.5 goals
At home, Al Akhdoud averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded
Al Nassr is offensively strong with an average of 2.81 goals per game and a solid defense with 0.78 goals conceded
They achieved 14 clean sheets
Away from home, Al Nassr averages 2.92 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters so far, there has been no draw
Al Nassr won all 5 matches against Al Akhdoud
The goal difference of 21:3 highlights Al Nassr's dominance in these games
The last meeting on December 27, 2025, ended with a 3:0 victory for Al Nassr
Key Players
For Al Akhdoud, Christian Bassogog (3 goals, 6 assists, rating 6.9), Abdulaziz Al-Hatila (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.74), and Khaled Narey (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.7) are key players
Christian Bassogog is stable with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Abdulaziz Al-Hatila shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist
For Al Nassr, João Félix (15 goals, 11 assists, rating 7.87), Cristiano Ronaldo (23 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.58), and Kingsley Coman (7 goals, 10 assists, rating 7.36) stand out
João Félix is in stable form with 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Cristiano Ronaldo scored 6 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances
Goalkeepers
Samuel Portugal is Al Akhdoud's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.99
Al Akhdoud has finished 3 games with clean sheets this season
On the other side, Bento is Al Nassr's goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.92
Al Nassr recorded an impressive 14 clean sheets this season
Influences
Al Akhdoud scores an average of 0.83 goals at home and concedes 1.78 goals
Al Nassr, on the other hand, excels away from home with an average of 2.92 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded