Pro League
Damac FC - Al-Qadsiah
04/09/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.5
1.6
1:1
13%0:1
12%0:2
11%0:0
10%1:2
9%What influences the xG?
Damac FC
Al-Qadsiah
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
19%
Draw
28%
Away Win
53%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
47%
Away or Draw
81%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Al-Qadsiah's strong away performance: The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 53% probability and 1.59 expected away goals
- Damac FC's defensive vulnerability: Damac conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game this season
- Al-Qadsiah's improved offensive form: Al-Qadsiah is currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (2.5)
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record between both teams is even with one win and one draw each
- Al-Qadsiah conceded 3 goals in their last away match
- Both teams lost their last game, which could affect current momentum
Overview
Damac FC (15th place, 22 points) host Al-Qadsiah (4th place, 60 points) in the Pro League. The match takes place on April 9, 2026, 5:00 PM. Al-Qadsiah aims to solidify its top position, while Damac FC is fighting against relegation.
Form
Damac FC's (LDWWL) form in their last five matches consists of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss. Al-Qadsiah (WDWWL) achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games, with their most recent result also being a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Damac FC scores an average of 0.89 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals. At home, they score 0.86 goals and concede 1.21 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets. Al-Qadsiah is stronger offensively with an average of 2.37 goals scored and only 1.04 goals conceded. Away from home, they score 2.38 goals and concede 1.38 goals. Al-Qadsiah recorded 8 clean sheets.
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, both teams have secured 1 win each, with 1 draw. The goal difference is even at 3:3. The last encounter on December 27, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw.
Key Players
For Damac FC, Valentín Vada (9 goals, 3 assists this season, 2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Yakou Méïté (4 goals this season, 3 goals in last 5 games) are key attacking forces. Abdulrahman Al-Obaid contributed 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Al-Qadsiah, Julián Quiñones (26 goals this season, 4 goals in last 5 games) and Mateo Retegui (15 goals this season, 3 goals in last 5 games) are crucial. Nahitan Nández (7 goals, 7 assists this season, 1 goal, 3 assists in last 5 games) is an important midfielder.
Goalkeepers
Kewin of Damac FC played 27 games and kept 4 clean sheets. Al-Qadsiah's goalkeeper Koen Casteels appeared in 25 matches and recorded 8 clean sheets.
Influences
Damac FC scored an average of 0.86 goals at home and conceded 1.21 goals. Al-Qadsiah showed a strong away performance with an average of 2.38 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded.