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Pro League

Al Hazm - Al-Fayha

04/11/2026, 04:05 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Hazm
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Al-Fayha
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
AHAL-

Al Hazm

Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
+0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.07
Rising form (1.4 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.07
Elias Mokwana on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)

Al-Fayha

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.59
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.21
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.07
Sabri Dahal on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.1 goals/match)
+0.56
+0.56
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win or draw with 73% probability
  • Al-Fayha's high away goals conceded (Avg. 2.00 per game) could suit Al Hazm's attack (Avg. 5.0 shots on target)
  • According to Advanced Stats, both teams are currently showing a positive form trend
Risk Factors
  • Al-Fayha had a short break of only 3 days since their last match
  • Al-Fayha averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Al-Fayha concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game this season
Overview

Al Hazm (11th place, 31 points) host Al-Fayha (9th place, 34 points) in the Pro League

The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 7:05 PM

Only three points separate the two teams in the tight mid-table

Al Hazm aims to increase the distance from the relegation zone

Form

Al Hazm's form in the last five league matches is DWLWL

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The last match ended in a 0-1 away defeat against Al Ittihad

Al-Fayha showed a form of LWWLD

This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five matches

Most recently, Al-Fayha drew 1-1 at home against Al Ahli

Statistics

Al Hazm scores an average of 1.07 goals and concedes 1.78 goals per season

In home games, they average 1.07 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded

The team has kept two clean sheets so far

Al-Fayha's season average is 1.25 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded

Away from home, Al-Fayha averages 1.29 goals scored but concedes 2.00 goals per game

Al-Fayha has managed to keep seven clean sheets this season

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 17 of Al Hazm's 27 matches

For Al-Fayha, this was the case in 15 of 28 matches

Head-to-Head

In three direct encounters, Al-Fayha has one win and there have been two draws

Al Hazm has not yet won a direct encounter

The goal difference of 3:1 also favors Al-Fayha

The last meeting on December 25, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

In their last home game against Al-Fayha, Al Hazm lost 1-3

Key Players

For Al Hazm, Fábio Martins with 5 goals and 3 assists, and Nawaf Al-Habashi with 4 goals and 2 assists are key offensive players

Nawaf Al-Habashi showed rising form in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 1 assist

Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe contributed 3 goals, 2 of them in the last 5 games

For Al-Fayha, Fashion Sakala stands out with 11 goals and 4 assists

Jason has scored 5 goals and provided 8 assists, including 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches

Alfa Semedo is a midfield anchor with 4 goals and 3 assists, recently scoring 2 goals in 4 games

Goalkeepers

Al Hazm's goalkeeper, Majed Al Ghamdi, played one game with an average rating of 6.64

Al Hazm recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Orlando Mosquera, Al-Fayha's goalkeeper, played in 28 matches with an average rating of 6.88

Al-Fayha achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Influences

Al Hazm scores an average of 1.07 goals at home and concedes 1.73 goals

Al-Fayha scores an average of 1.29 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals

A clear home advantage is not statistically evident

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