Pro League
Al Najma - NEOM SC
04/11/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.8
2.5
1.7
1:1
13%0:1
13%0:2
12%0:0
10%1:2
9%What influences the xG?
Al Najma
NEOM SC
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
16%
Draw
27%
Away Win
57%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
43%
Away or Draw
84%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Clear performance gap: NEOM SC is significantly ahead of Al Najma in the table
- Current form: NEOM SC with two consecutive wins, Al Najma with five consecutive losses
- Offensive efficiency: NEOM SC averaged 5.2 shots on target recently, Al Najma only 2.6
Risk Factors
- Limited goal threat for Al Najma: Only 56% of usual starting XI goal threat available without LĂĄzaro (6G/1A) and David Tijanic (2G/3A)
- Short recovery time for NEOM SC: Only 3 days since their last match
- Weak offense for Al Najma: Averaged only 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games
Overview
Al Najma (18th place, 8 points) host NEOM SC (8th place, 39 points) in the Pro League on April 11, 2026, 5:00 PM. The hosts are fighting for survival, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the upper mid-table. The match promises a duel between a relegation candidate and a top-half team.
Form
Al Najma is in a difficult phase with a form of LLLLL, which means 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 2-5 away loss against Al Nassr. NEOM SC shows better form with LLDWW, reflecting 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They won their last two matches against Al Ittihad (4-3 away) and Al-Fayha (1-0 at home). (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Al Najma averaged 0.93 goals scored per game and conceded 2.44 goals per game this season. At home, they average 0.94 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 18 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches. NEOM SC has a season average of 1.29 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded. Away from home, they scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.12 goals per game. Both teams scored in 17 matches, and 15 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams so far. This took place on December 25, 2025, with NEOM SC winning 2-1 at home against Al Najma. NEOM SC (the away team in this match) scored 2 goals, while Al Najma (the home team) scored 1 goal. The last meeting ended in a victory for NEOM SC.
Key Players
For Al Najma, key players include Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos (Attacker, 3 goals, 3 assists this season, 2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games with stable form), Samir Caetano (Defender, 2 goals, 1 assist this season with stable form), and Bilal Boutobba (Attacker, 2 goals, 1 assist this season with declining form). For NEOM SC, SaĂŻd Benrahma (Attacker, 6 goals, 6 assists this season, 1 goal, 2 assists in last 5 games with stable form), Luciano RodrĂguez (Attacker, 6 goals, 1 assist this season, 3 goals in last 5 games with rising form), and Abdoulaye DoucourĂ© (Midfielder, 0 goals, 4 assists this season, 3 assists in last 5 games with rising form) stand out.
Goalkeepers
Victor Braga, Al Najma's goalkeeper, has kept 2 clean sheets in 25 appearances this season. His average rating is 6.7, with a decline to 6.12 in the last 5 games. For NEOM SC, LuĂs Maximiano played in 27 games and kept 6 clean sheets. His season rating is 6.78, with a rise to 7.10 in the last 5 games.
Influences
Al Najma concedes an average of 1.94 goals per home game. NEOM SC shows solid defense away from home, allowing an average of only 1.12 goals per away game. The home team has not managed a single clean sheet in any home game this season.