Major League Soccer
Charlotte - Philadelphia Union
04/04/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.1
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Strong Home Form: Charlotte averages 2.25 goals per home game.
- Philadelphia Union's Crisis: The team has lost all 5 season games and shows an LLLLL form.
- Mathematical Analysis Forecast: The pipeline predicts a home win for Charlotte with a 57% probability.
Risk Factors
- Philadelphia Union averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.
- Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game.
Overview
Charlotte hosts Philadelphia Union in a Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM. Charlotte is in 5th place with 8 points, while Philadelphia Union is in 15th place with 0 points, having lost all season games so far. The home team will aim to continue their good home record and close the gap to the top of the table.
Form
Charlotte's form is DLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last 5 games, the team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their most recent result was a win.
Philadelphia Union is in a difficult phase with LLLLL. The team achieved 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last 5 games and recently suffered a loss, marking a streak of 5 consecutive losses.
Statistics
Charlotte has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals. At home, Charlotte is particularly strong with an average of 2.25 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. The team kept 1 clean sheet and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches.
Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game this season and conceded 1.8 goals. Away from home, they averaged 0.5 goals scored and conceded 2.0 goals per away game. They achieved no clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the 4 head-to-head matches played, Charlotte secured 2 wins, Philadelphia Union had 1 win, and there was 1 draw. Charlotte scored a total of 5 goals, with Philadelphia Union scoring 2 goals. The last encounter was a 2-0 victory for Charlotte on October 18, 2025. Charlotte has been the more dominant team in recent matchups.
Key Players
For Charlotte, Pep Biel (Midfielder) is a key offensive player with 4 season goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 7.62. Wilfried Zaha (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, with a rating of 7.23. Idan Toklomati (Attacker) scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.82.
For Philadelphia Union, Frankie Westfield (Defender) stands out with 1 assist and an average rating of 7.27. In attack, Milan Iloski (Attacker) and Indiana Vassilev (Attacker) are relevant players with 1 season goal each, holding ratings of 6.76 and 6.62 respectively.
Goalkeepers
Charlotte's goalkeeper, Kristijan Kahlina, has played in all 5 season games and recorded 1 clean sheet.
For Philadelphia Union, Andre Blake has featured in all 5 season games but has yet to achieve a clean sheet.
Influences
Charlotte demonstrates strong home form, averaging 2.25 goals scored and conceding only 0.5 goals per home game. This could be a decisive home advantage.