Major League Soccer
New England - CF Montréal
04/04/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
New England
CF Montréal
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts New England as favorites for a home win with 42%
- New England's home strength (Avg. 2.0 home goals, Avg. 0.33 home goals conceded) meets Montréal's away weakness (Avg. 2.8 away goals conceded)
- New England averaged 4.0 shots on target in their last 4 matches
Risk Factors
- CF Montréal concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away game
- New England has conceded an overall average of 2.25 goals per game
- Both teams show poor season form with only one win so far
Overview
New England (11th place, 3 points) host CF Montréal (12th place, 3 points) in Major League Soccer
Match on April 4, 2026, 4:30 PM
Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the league table
Form
New England's current form is L-L-W-L across all competitions
This translates to 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 4 matches
The last result was a loss
CF Montréal has a form of L-L-W-L-L
This means 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
CF Montréal suffered two consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
New England has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 2.25 goals
CF Montréal has averaged 1.4 goals per game and conceded 2.8 goals per match
New England had over 2.5 goals in 3 games and both teams scored in 3 games
CF Montréal had over 2.5 goals in all 5 games and both teams scored in 2 games
In home games, New England scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 0.33 goals
CF Montréal conceded an average of 2.8 goals in away games and scored 1.4 goals per away match
Both teams scored (BTTS), Over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5)
Head-to-Head
There have been 4 head-to-head matches between New England and CF Montréal
New England won 2 of these games, CF Montréal won 1, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of New England
The last encounter on July 25, 2025, ended in a 1:3 victory for CF Montréal
New England has been dominant recently in direct comparisons
Key Players
For New England, Luca Langoni is an important provider with 4 assists
Brayan Ceballos contributed 2 goals in 3 appearances and has an average rating of 7.33
Carles Gil has provided 1 assist this season with an average rating of 7.22
For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu stands out with 4 season goals and 1 assist
Wikelman José Carmona Torres has scored 3 goals and 1 assist, and his form trend is rising
Iván Jaime has contributed 1 assist this season
Goalkeepers
New England's goalkeeper is Matt Turner
The team has achieved 0 clean sheets this season
Thomas Guilier is in goal for CF Montréal
The team has recorded 1 clean sheet this season
Influences
New England shows strong home performance with an average of 2.0 home goals scored and only 0.33 home goals conceded
CF Montréal exhibits defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per away game
The provided dataset does not list any historical venue data or weather data