Major League Soccer
DC United - Dallas
04/04/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
DC United
Dallas
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Offensive strength: Dallas scores consistently (~2.5 goals per game) and averages 4.8 shots on target (average)
- Form advantage: Dallas with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, DC United with only 2 wins
- Prediction model: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for DC United with 40%
Risk Factors
- Limited offensive threat: DC United recently averaged only 2.2 shots on target (few attempts)
- Defensive weakness: Dallas concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game this season
- Missing data: Dallas has not played any away games this season, making it difficult to assess their away performance
Overview
DC United (7th place, 7 points) host Dallas (8th place, 8 points)
Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table, a win could help them close the gap to the top spots
Form
DC United's current form across all competitions is WLLWD
This indicates 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
The last matchday ended in a draw
Dallas shows a form of WDLDW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last matchday brought a win for Dallas
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
DC United recently drew 0-0 away against Atlanta United
Before that, they had a 2-1 away win against Chicago Fire
Dallas recently won 4-3 at home against Houston Dynamo
A 3-3 home draw against San Diego preceded that
Statistics
DC United scores an average of 0.8 goals per game and concedes 0.8 goals this season
Both teams scored in 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches
Dallas scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.8 goals
Both teams scored in 3 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches
DC United has kept 2 clean sheets this season, Dallas 1
DC United's home games see an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded
Dallas has not played any away games this season
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams
Dallas won 1 of these matches, DC United none
There were no draws
DC United scored 3 goals, Dallas 4 goals in these encounters
The last encounter took place on August 24, 2024, Dallas won 4-3
Dallas has been more dominant in recent direct encounters
Key Players
For DC United, Tai Baribo is an important attacker with 3 season goals
Matti Peltola proved to be a prolific midfielder with 1 season goal
Peglow contributed 1 assist this season
For Dallas, Petar Musa is a key player with 6 season goals and 4 goals in the last 5 games
Logan Farrington scored 3 season goals and 1 assist, with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Bernard Kamungo contributed 1 assist this season
Goalkeepers
Sean Johnson is DC United's goalkeeper and has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Michael Collodi is Dallas's goalkeeper and has recorded 1 clean sheet
Influences
DC United averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded in home games