Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Minnesota United
04/05/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.3
1.1
1:1
10%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
7%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Favorites: Mathematical analysis predicts a 61% home win probability for LA Galaxy
- Head-to-Head record: LA Galaxy dominated the last 5 encounters with 3 wins and 2 draws
- Home strength meets away weakness: LA Galaxy concedes only 0.75 goals at home, Minnesota United 2.75 goals away
Risk Factors
- Minnesota United concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game
- Minnesota United scores only 0.8 goals per game on average this season
Overview
LA Galaxy (10th place, 5 points) host Minnesota United (13th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer. The match is scheduled for April 5, 2026, 4:30 AM. The mathematical analysis indicates a 61% probability for a home win.
Form
The form of the last 5 games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) shows a similar record for both teams. LA Galaxy has a form of DWLLD, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The team drew their last match. Minnesota United also has a form of DWLLD, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. They also drew their last match.
Statistics
LA Galaxy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game this season and conceded 1.6 goals. In home games, the average is 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded. They kept 1 clean sheet and both teams scored in 4 games. Minnesota United averaged 0.8 goals scored per game and conceded 2.2 goals. Away from home, they scored 0.75 goals and conceded an average of 2.75 goals. The team kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 2 games.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 direct encounters between the two teams, LA Galaxy secured 3 wins, while Minnesota United won no games and 2 matches ended in a draw. LA Galaxy scored a total of 14 goals, Minnesota United 8 goals. LA Galaxy won the last match 2-1 on October 19, 2025.
Key Players
For LA Galaxy, JoĂŁo Klauss is a key player with 5 goals and an average rating of 7.4, Marco Reus with 1 goal and 2 assists at a rating of 7.41, and Gabriel Pec with 2 assists and a rating of 7.47. For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah stands out with 2 goals and a rating of 6.93, JoaquĂn Pereyra with 2 assists and a rating of 7.29, and Morris Duggan with 1 goal and a rating of 6.79.
Goalkeepers
In goal for LA Galaxy is J. Marcinkowski, who achieved 1 clean sheet in 1 appearance. For Minnesota United, Drake Callender is expected, having kept 2 clean sheets in 5 appearances.
Influences
LA Galaxy shows defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per game. Minnesota United struggles away from home, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per away game. The home team scores an average of 1.25 goals per home match, while the away team scores only 0.75 goals per away match.