Major League Soccer
DC United - New England
08/19/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.4
1.9
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
DC United
New England
League
The Lab
- 1DC United: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 2DC United: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 3DC United: 3 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (3 points rescued)
- 4New England with Diego FagĂșndez: 0.2 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (4 of 8 games)
- 5DC United with Kye Rowles: 2 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
53%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Away defensive struggles: New England concede an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
- Tactical approach: DC United recently played counter-oriented with an average of 39% possession, while New England averaged 57% possession to dominate
- Opposing form trends: DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, whereas New England suffered losses in their last two outings
Risk Factors
- DC United show defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game
- New England's major defensive weakness is highlighted by their average of 3.0 goals conceded per away match
Overview
DC United host New England at Audi Field
Major League Soccer match on August 19, 2026, 11:30 PM
DC United sit in 9th place with 24 points, while New England are in 4th with 30 points
The model calculates a home win probability of 29% and an away win of 47%
Form
DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of DDWDD (1 win, 4 draws)
New England have struggled recently with a form of DWDLL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
The hosts show a more stable trend compared to the visiting side
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
DC United score an average of 1.42 goals and concede 1.58 goals per game
New England average 1.53 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded this season
At home, DC United score 1.36 and concede a high average of 1.73 goals per game
Away from home, New England concede an extremely high average of 3.0 goals per game
Head-to-Head
Even historical record with 2 wins each and 1 draw in 5 head-to-head matches
The goal difference in these direct encounters is perfectly balanced at 6:6
The last match on April 11, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for New England
Key Players
Tai Baribo shines for DC United with 12 season goals and an average rating of 7.14
Carles Gil leads New England with 7 goals, 3 assists, and a strong rating of 7.55
Louis Munteanu has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists for the home side
Dor Turgeman remains highly dangerous for the visitors with 4 goals and 5 assists
Not nominated for DC United: Peglow (1 goal, 3 assists)
Goalkeepers
Sean Johnson guards the net for DC United, holding a 6.83 average rating and 4 clean sheets
Matt Turner is in goal for New England, boasting a 7.18 rating and 4 clean sheets
Both keepers enter this match with an identical number of clean sheets this season
Influences
Audi Field has proven to be highly entertaining with an average of 4.2 goals per match
Both teams scored in all of DC United's last 5 home matches (100% BTTS rate)
The match will be played on natural grass, fitting the standard conditions for both sides