🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

DC United - Los Angeles FC

08/29/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
DC United
1.5
Total xG
3.2
Los Angeles FC
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
DULAF

DC United

Standings disadvantage (pos 10 vs 3, 7 places gap)
-0.11
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.08
Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.06
Tai Baribo not in squad (12 goals, 0 assists)
Silvan Hefti not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
44% of goal output missing (only 74% available)

Los Angeles FC

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.18
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 10, 7 places gap)
+0.06
Timothy Tillman not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    DC United: 4 comebacks in 7 games after trailing past minute 75 (6 points rescued)

  • 2
    DC United: 8 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

  • 3
    DC United: dropped a lead in 4 of 7 games (10 points lost)

  • 4
    Los Angeles FC: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 18)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

26%

Away Win

41%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

59%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

65%

No

35%

Key Factors
  • Los Angeles FC are the favorites with a calculated win probability of 41% and 1.70 expected goals
  • DC United's home defense is highly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per home game
  • The hosts' attacking output is stuttering, with only 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.5
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability on head-to-head records in the provided dataset
  • Los Angeles FC's defense is more vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.38 goals
  • DC United must cope without Tai Baribo and Silvan Hefti, impacting their starting XI strength
Overview

DC United host Los Angeles FC at Audi Field

Major League Soccer on August 29, 2026, 11:30 PM

The hosts are in 10th place with 24 points

Los Angeles FC arrive in 3rd place with 35 points

A crucial matchup in the race for playoff spots

Form

DC United with a form of WDDLL in recent matches

The hosts recorded just 1 win and suffered 2 losses lately

Los Angeles FC show a form of WDLLD across all competitions

The visitors also registered 1 win and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

DC United average 1.33 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per match

Their home defensive record shows an average of 2.0 goals conceded

Los Angeles FC score an average of 1.64 goals and concede just 1.0

The visitors have already registered 11 clean sheets

For DC United, 12 out of 21 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Key Players

Louis Munteanu leads DC United with 6 season goals and 2 assists

Peglow contributed 1 goal and 4 assists in 19 appearances

Defender Keisuke Kurokawa has provided 4 assists so far

For the visitors, Denis Bouanga shines with 11 goals and 4 assists

Heung-min Son impresses with 4 goals and 8 assists this season

Mathieu Choinière recorded 2 goals and 3 assists in midfield

Goalkeepers

Sean Johnson is in goal for DC United with a rating of 6.80

Hugo Lloris guards the visitors' goal with a season average of 6.86

Lloris featured in 4 out of the last 5 matches

Johnson played all of the last 5 games for his team

Influences

At Audi Field, recent matches average 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of these home matches

DC United play on natural grass at home

The visitors score an average of 1.62 goals per away game

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.