Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids - San Diego
07/23/2026, 01:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.1
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
League
The Lab
- 1Colorado Rapids with Wayne Frederick: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2San Diego with Pedro Soma: 2.6 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (5 of 8 games)
- 3Colorado Rapids: 69% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 4San Diego: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Tactical advantage: San Diego averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Colorado's 3.0
- Model prediction: Mathematical analysis shows Colorado Rapids as slight favorites with a 44% win probability
- Scoring trend: San Diego averaged 2.6 goals recently, which is higher than their season average of 2.0
Risk Factors
- San Diego's extreme away weakness, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per match on the road
- Colorado missing key players: Only 87% of usual starting lineup strength available with Wayne Frederick out
- San Diego missing key players: Only 89% of starting lineup strength available with Amahl Pellegrino out
Overview
Colorado Rapids host San Diego
Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 3:30 AM
Clash at Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Colorado sits in 13th place with 16 points
San Diego occupies 11th place with 17 points
A tight mid-table battle between neighbors
Form
Colorado Rapids current form: LLWLL
4 defeats and only 1 victory recently
The away win at Minnesota United remains the only highlight
San Diego comes in with a form of: DDWDL
3 draws, 1 win, and 1 defeat
Their last match ended in a loss against Vancouver Whitecaps
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Colorado scores an average of 1.67 goals per game this season
At home, the Rapids concede only 1.0 goals per match on average
San Diego averages 2.0 goals scored per game
In away matches, San Diego concedes a high average of 4.0 goals
Head-to-Head
There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far
Both teams have won 1 game each
Even goal record with 4 goals to 3 in favor of San Diego
The last encounter on May 15, 2025, ended in a 2-0 win for San Diego
Key Players
Rafael Navarro is Colorado's top forward with 8 goals and 3 assists
Paxten Aaronson contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in midfield
Kosi Thompson solidifies the defense and has scored twice
Marcus Ingvartsen is San Diego's top scorer with 11 goals in 15 games
Ander Dreyer shines with 6 goals and 7 assists in attack
Onni Valakari guides the midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Nicolas Hansen starts in goal for Colorado Rapids with a season rating of 7.0
San Diego fields CJ dos Santos, who has only made 2 appearances this season
Hansen has not kept a clean sheet in his matches so far
dos Santos has an average season rating of 6.62
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Stadium history reveals a high average of 3.8 goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this venue
Colorado secures more stable results at home compared to away matches