Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps
05/17/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.9
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
6%What influences the xG?
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
League
The Lab
- 1Houston Dynamo with Ondrej Lingr: 3.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Vancouver Whitecaps with Thomas Müller: 3.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1.2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (5 points rescued)
- 4Houston Dynamo: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Vancouver Whitecaps: 38% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 16)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
23%
Draw
26%
Away Win
51%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
49%
Away or Draw
77%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Vancouver Whitecaps leads the league with 29 points and boasts the strongest offense and defense in the league (30 goals scored, 9 conceded)
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Vancouver Whitecaps with 51%
- Vancouver Whitecaps is unbeaten in their last five games, while Houston Dynamo recorded two losses
Risk Factors
- Both teams had only 3 days rest since their last match, which could indicate fatigue
- Houston Dynamo's goal production is recently lower (1.2 goals on average) compared to their season average (1.4 goals)
- Vancouver Whitecaps' goal production is recently lower (2.2 goals on average) compared to their season average (2.5 goals)
Overview
Houston Dynamo (8th place, 18 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 29 points) in Major League Soccer on May 17, 2026, 2:30 AM
The Whitecaps lead the league and aim to defend their top position
The Dynamo seek to climb from mid-table
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Houston Dynamo shows a form of WLWWL across all competitions
They recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches
The last result was a loss
Vancouver Whitecaps is unbeaten with WWDDW in their last five games
The team achieved 3 wins and 2 draws
Their last match ended with a win
Statistics
Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.42 goals per game this season and concedes 1.83 goals
They kept 3 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches
In home games, they score an average of 1.4 goals and concede 1.2 goals
Vancouver Whitecaps is offensively strong with an average of 2.5 goals per game and a solid defense with 0.75 goals conceded
They kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches
Away from home, the Whitecaps score an average of 2.25 goals and concede 1.25 goals
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, the record between both teams is even
Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps each won 1 game, while 2 matches ended in a draw
Houston scored 6 goals, Vancouver 8 goals
The last encounter on August 18, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Recent duels showed no clear dominance from either team
Key Players
For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme (6 goals, 4 assists), Lawrence Ennali (3 goals, 2 assists) and Jack McGlynn (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players
Guilherme shows a declining form trend with a decrease in average rating of 0.81 points in the last 5 games
Jack McGlynn and Lawrence Ennali show a stable form curve
For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White (8 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (6 goals, 5 assists) and Mathías Laborda (3 goals, 3 assists) stand out
Sebastian Berhalter shows stable form, while Brian White and Mathías Laborda show a declining trend
Not nominated for Vancouver Whitecaps are Emmanuel Sabbi (2 goals, 2 assists) and Cheikh Sabaly (2 goals, 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
Jonathan Bond of Houston Dynamo recorded 3 clean sheets in 12 appearances
Yohei Takaoka of Vancouver Whitecaps kept 5 clean sheets in 12 appearances
Influences
Houston Dynamo scored an average of 1.4 goals in home games and conceded 1.2 goals
Vancouver Whitecaps scored an average of 2.25 goals in away games and conceded 1.25 goals