Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Houston Dynamo
05/24/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
League
The Lab
- 1Houston Dynamo with Ondrej Lingr: 3.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2LA Galaxy: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3Houston Dynamo: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4LA Galaxy: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Houston Dynamo: 72% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
29%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates a home win with 42% probability
- LA Galaxy's Home Strength: The team scores an average of 1.50 goals at home while conceding only 1.17 goals
- Houston Dynamo's Away Weakness: The visitors concede an average of 2.29 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- C. Garcés Torres (Foot Injury), J. De Mello (Foot Injury), and R. Puig Martà (Cruciate Ligament Injury) are missing for LA Galaxy
Overview
LA Galaxy (9th place, 19 points) host Houston Dynamo (8th place, 21 points) at Dignity Health Sports Park
Major League Soccer match on May 24, 2026, 04:30 AM
A mid-table clash where LA Galaxy aims to leverage its home strength
Form
LA Galaxy's recent form is WDWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Their last league win was away against Seattle Sounders with a 2-0 score
Houston Dynamo's form is LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Their last league win was at home against Vancouver Whitecaps with a 1-0 score
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
LA Galaxy averages 1.50 goals scored per game and 1.50 goals conceded per game this season
At home, LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.17 goals
Houston Dynamo averages 1.38 goals scored per game and 1.69 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.43 goals and concedes 2.29 goals
Both teams scored in 12 out of 14 LA Galaxy games and in 5 out of 13 Houston Dynamo games
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 10 out of 14 LA Galaxy games and in 6 out of 13 Houston Dynamo games
Head-to-Head
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for LA Galaxy, 1 win for Houston Dynamo, and 2 draws
The goal difference is even at 5:5
The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on September 7, 2025
Key Players
For LA Galaxy, Gabriel Pec (5 goals, 4 assists), Marco Reus (4 goals, 5 assists), and Joseph Paintsil (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players
Gabriel Pec shows a stable form trend with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Marco Reus recorded 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, also with a stable trend
Joseph Paintsil has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, his form trend is slightly declining
For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme (7 goals, 4 assists), Lawrence Ennali (3 goals, 2 assists), and Jack McGlynn (2 goals, 2 assists) are crucial
Guilherme scored 2 times in the last 5 games, his form trend is declining
Lawrence Ennali scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games with a stable form trend
Jack McGlynn has scored 2 goals in the last 5 games, his form trend is stable
Goalkeepers
LA Galaxy's goalkeeper, J. Marcinkowski, has an average rating of 7.02 this season
J. Marcinkowski kept 2 clean sheets in 10 season appearances
Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, Jonathan Bond, has a season rating of 6.81
Jonathan Bond recorded 4 clean sheets in 13 season appearances
Influences
LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.50 goals at home and concedes 1.17 goals
Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 42% probability