Major League Soccer
Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids
05/14/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Minnesota United
Colorado Rapids
League
The Lab
- 1Colorado Rapids with Wayne Frederick: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Colorado Rapids: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3Minnesota United: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Minnesota United with Mamadou Dieng: 6.5 goals/90 min. Without: 3.4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Defensive Contrast: Minnesota United's strong home defense (Avg. 0.75 goals conceded) faces Colorado's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.25 goals conceded)
- Form Disparity: Minnesota United's good form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) contrasts with Colorado's losing streak (3 consecutive losses)
- Tactical Strength: Minnesota United shows offensive strength with an average of 5.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Colorado Rapids is less direct with 2.6 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Colorado Rapids concedes an average of 3.25 goals per away game
- Colorado Rapids averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The mathematical analysis predicts a draw with a probability of 28%
Overview
Minnesota United (5th place, 21 points) host Colorado Rapids (11th place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 14, 2026, 1:30 AM. Minnesota United aims to solidify its playoff position, while Colorado Rapids seeks to escape the lower league standings.
Form
Minnesota United shows stable form in the last 5 games with WWLWD, achieving 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Austin. Colorado Rapids is in a difficult phase with form LDLLL, meaning 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 fixtures. Colorado has lost their last three games.
Statistics
Minnesota United averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game for the season. At home, they are defensively strong, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per home game and keeping 3 clean sheets. Colorado Rapids averages 1.83 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals per game. Away from home, the Rapids' defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away game and achieving only 1 clean sheet.
Head-to-Head
In 4 previous head-to-head encounters, the record between Minnesota United and Colorado Rapids is even. Each team has secured 1 win, while 2 matches ended in a draw. Minnesota United scored 8 goals, and Colorado Rapids scored 6. The last meeting on September 28, 2025, resulted in a 1-1 draw.
Key Players
For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah with 7 seasonal goals, Anthony Markanich Jr. with 4 goals and 2 assists, and JoaquĂn Pereyra with 1 goal and 4 assists are key players. For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro stands out with 7 seasonal goals and 3 assists, Paxten Aaronson with 3 goals and 1 assist, and Lucas Herrington with 1 goal and 1 assist.
Goalkeepers
Minnesota United's goalkeeper, Drake Callender, recorded 4 clean sheets this season, with 3 coming in home games. On the Colorado Rapids' side, goalkeeper Nicolas Hansen has achieved 2 clean sheets this season, with 1 in away matches.
Influences
Minnesota United benefits from a home advantage, scoring an average of 1.25 goals and conceding only 0.75 goals in home matches. Colorado Rapids appear more vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.25 goals there.