Major League Soccer
Austin - LA Galaxy
04/11/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Austin
LA Galaxy
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Austin's strong home defense (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded) faces a vulnerable LA Galaxy away defense (Avg. 2.5 goals conceded)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 39% home win probability for Austin and a 28% chance of a draw
- LA Galaxy demonstrated a possession-dominant style in their last 5 games with an average of 7.6 shots on target
Risk Factors
- LA Galaxy concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Austin averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- JoĂŁo Klauss is missing for LA Galaxy, leaving only 69% of the usual goal threat available
Overview
Austin (10th place, 6 points) hosts LA Galaxy (12th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer on April 11, 2026, 8:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower mid-table and are looking to move away from the relegation spots.
Form
Austin has achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches (Form: WLLDD). The team ended their last two games with a draw. LA Galaxy's form is WLLDL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five encounters. Their last match ended in a loss.
Statistics
Austin has scored an average of 1.17 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals per game. In home games, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. LA Galaxy averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.67 goals. Away from home, LA Galaxy has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, there have been no draws. Austin won 3 of these matches, while LA Galaxy recorded 1 win. Austin scored a total of 6 goals, LA Galaxy 3. The last encounter on July 17, 2025, ended in a 2-1 victory for LA Galaxy.
Key Players
For Austin, Facundo Torres (Attacker) is a key player with 3 assists in 6 games and an average rating of 7.26, though his recent form shows a slight decline. Myrto Uzuni (Attacker) has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 6 games, with his form also slightly declining. Christian Ramirez (Attacker) has contributed 1 goal in 5 games and shows stable form. For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (Midfielder) stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games and an average rating of 7.36. Gabriel Pec (Attacker) has delivered 2 assists in 5 games with a rating of 7.35. Lucas Sanabria (Midfielder) scored 1 goal in 6 games.
Goalkeepers
Austin's goalkeeper, Brad Stuver, has an average rating of 7.24 in 6 season appearances and kept 2 clean sheets. LA Galaxy's J. Marcinkowski has an average rating of 6.48 in 2 appearances and has not recorded a clean sheet this season.
Influences
Austin shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per home game. LA Galaxy is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game.