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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake

09/24/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Seattle Sounders
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Real Salt Lake
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
SSRSL

Seattle Sounders

Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.57
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.04
Paul Rothrock not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
Jordan Morris on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
Dejan Joveljić on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
26% of goal output missing (only 89% available)
Strong home record (1.6 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Real Salt Lake

Attack weakness (0.56x league average)
-0.64
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.26
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.26
Juan Manuel Sanabria on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
Saba Lobjanidze on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Aiden Hezarkhani on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.71
+0.71
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Real Salt Lake: dropped a lead in 5 of 5 games (12 points lost)

  • 2
    Seattle Sounders: opponent scores first in 9 of 11 games (82%)

  • 3
    Seattle Sounders: 10 of 23 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 4
    Seattle Sounders: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (5 of 11 total)

  • 5
    Seattle Sounders with Cristian RoldƔn starting: 1.4 goals/game, without him: 0.7 (14/7 games, last 24)

  • 6
    Real Salt Lake: 7 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Form discrepancy: Seattle is unbeaten in five matches (five draws) while Real Salt Lake lost four of their last five games
  • Tactical trend: Seattle is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Weak away defense: Real Salt Lake concedes 2.44 goals per away game on average and has not kept a clean sheet on the road
Risk Factors
  • Depleted lineup: Key offensive players Paul Rothrock, Jordan Morris, and Dejan Joveljić are missing from Seattle's starting lineup
  • Artificial turf struggles: Seattle won only 2 of 10 home matches on artificial turf so far
  • Visitors' goal drought: Real Salt Lake's goal production has stalled recently with just 0.6 goals per game compared to their 1.5 average
Overview

Seattle Sounders host Real Salt Lake at Lumen Field

Major League Soccer match on September 24, 2026, 3:30 AM

Both teams fight for crucial points in the middle of the standings

Seattle sits in 13th place with 29 points from 24 matches

Real Salt Lake is in 12th place also with 29 points from 25 matches

Form

Seattle Sounders drew their last five matches in a row

Form string for Seattle is DDDDD

The home side recorded 0 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses in their last five games

Real Salt Lake is struggling with a form string of LDLLL

The visitors suffered three consecutive defeats recently, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in total

Statistics

Seattle Sounders average 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per match this season

At home, Seattle average 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded

Real Salt Lake average 1.48 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Real Salt Lake concede heavily with an average of 2.44 goals per match

For the visitors, 17 of 25 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake won 3, Seattle won 1, with 1 draw

Real Salt Lake scored 7 goals, while Seattle scored 3 times

The last meeting ended on March 1, 2026, with a 2-1 victory for Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake dominates the recent record as the winner of the last matchup

Key Players

Albert RusnƔk shines in Seattle's midfield with 3 goals and 9 assists, holding a 7.15 rating

Cristian RoldƔn contributed 4 goals and 1 assist for the Sounders this season

Sergi Solans is the top forward for Real Salt Lake with 9 goals and 3 assists in 23 appearances

Noel Caliskan controls the visitors' midfield with 1 goal and 4 assists

Goalkeepers

Andrew Thomas guards the Seattle goal and maintains a strong season rating of 7.11

Seattle recorded 6 clean sheets so far this season

Rafael Cabral starts in goal for Real Salt Lake with a season rating of 6.67

Real Salt Lake kept only 2 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match is played on artificial turf at Lumen Field

Seattle has a mixed home record on this surface with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses

Real Salt Lake played only 3 matches on artificial turf, recording 1 win and 2 losses

Seattle's home advantage is bolstered by the visitors' weak away defense

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