Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City
04/11/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Vancouver Whitecaps' strong home form with an average of 2.6 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded per home game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 50%
- Vancouver Whitecaps' positive goal average of 3.2 goals per game in recent matches, above the season average of 2.8 goals
Risk Factors
- New York City concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Limited data available for historical head-to-head matches
Overview
Vancouver Whitecaps (2nd place, 15 points) host New York City (2nd place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer. The match is scheduled for April 11, 2026, 11:30 PM. Both teams have started the season strongly and are in the upper league standings.
Form
Vancouver Whitecaps are in good form with a record of WWWLW in their last five matches across all competitions. The team recorded 4 wins and 1 loss. New York City shows a form of WWWLD, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games.
Statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps have scored an average of 2.83 goals per game and conceded 0.67 goals this season. They kept 3 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 4 matches. At home, they are strong with an average of 2.6 goals scored per home game and 0.6 goals conceded. New York City scored an average of 2.33 times and conceded 1.17 goals per match. They had 1 clean sheet and 5 BTTS games. Away from home, they scored an average of 3.0 goals and conceded 2.0 goals.
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any historical head-to-head matches between Vancouver Whitecaps and New York City.
Key Players
For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White is a key attacker with 5 season goals. Sebastian Berhalter shines in midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists. Thomas MĆ¼ller also contributes to the offense with 3 season goals. Not selected: AZ Jackson (1 Goal, 1 Assist). For New York City, NicolĆ”s FernĆ”ndez Mercau stands out with 5 season goals. Maxi Moralez is a central figure in midfield with 1 goal and 5 assists. AgustĆn Ojeda has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist so far.
Goalkeepers
For Vancouver Whitecaps, Yohei Takaoka has been in goal for 6 season matches and achieved 3 clean sheets. For New York City, Matt Freese also played 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.
Influences
Vancouver Whitecaps demonstrate strength with an average of 2.6 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded per home game. New York City scored an average of 3.0 goals away, but also conceded 2.0 goals per away game.