Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders - LA Galaxy
05/17/2026, 01:15 AM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Seattle Sounders
LA Galaxy
League
The Lab
- 1LA Galaxy: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)
- 2Seattle Sounders with Osaze De Rosario: 6.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Seattle Sounders: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 4LA Galaxy: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5LA Galaxy: 76% of xG value comes in the second half (last 7 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Seattle Sounders' home strength: They are in 3rd place and have a solid home defense (Avg. 0.62 goals conceded)
- Form advantage: Seattle Sounders are in better shape with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
- Tactical dominance: Seattle Sounders averaged 7.6 shots on target with 57% possession in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Reduced goal threat for Seattle Sounders: Only 57% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Albert RusnĂĄk, Paul Rothrock, and Cristian RoldĂĄn not in the lineup
- Fatigue risk: Both teams have only 3 days rest since their last match
- Away defensive weakness of LA Galaxy: They concede an average of 2.00 goals per away game
Overview
Seattle Sounders (3rd place, 24 points) host LA Galaxy (11th place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer. The match is scheduled for May 17, 2026, 2:15 AM. The Sounders are in a strong position and aim to consolidate their top league standing, while Galaxy seeks to climb out of the lower mid-table
Form
Seattle Sounders are in excellent form with W-W-D-D-W (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a win. LA Galaxy have been inconsistent with L-W-D-W-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five games. Their most recent result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Seattle Sounders have an average of 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded. They kept 5 clean sheets. LA Galaxy averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.43 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded. They kept 1 clean sheet. For Seattle Sounders, both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 games. For LA Galaxy, both teams scored in 12 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 10 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy secured 2 wins, Seattle Sounders had 1 win, and there were 2 draws. The goal difference stands at 6:4 in favor of Seattle Sounders. Their last encounter on September 14, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw. LA Galaxy have been recently dominant in direct duels
Key Players
For Seattle Sounders, JesĂșs Ferreira (2 goals, 4 assists) and Jordan Morris (1 goal, 2 assists) are key attacking players. JesĂșs Ferreira is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Danny Musovski (1 goal, 0 assists) contributed one goal this season. For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (4 goals, 4 assists) and Gabriel Pec (4 goals, 3 assists) are crucial for their offense. Gabriel Pec scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches. Joseph Paintsil (2 goals, 2 assists) is also an important part of the attack
Goalkeepers
Andrew Thomas is the goalkeeper for Seattle Sounders, who recorded 5 clean sheets this season and one clean sheet at home. J. Marcinkowski is in goal for LA Galaxy, who kept 1 clean sheet this season and zero clean sheets away from home
Influences
Seattle Sounders demonstrate strong home performance, averaging 1.50 goals scored and conceding only 0.62 goals. LA Galaxy concede an average of 2.00 goals in away matches