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Major League Soccer

New England - Houston Dynamo

08/08/2026, 08:30 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
New England
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Houston Dynamo
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
NEHD

New England

Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.99
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.04
Full strength squad available

Houston Dynamo

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.40
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
+0.16
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.04
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.5 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.72
+0.72
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Houston Dynamo: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    New England with Luca Langoni: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Houston Dynamo: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    New England: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Strong home record on artificial turf: New England secured 7 wins in 10 matches on this surface
  • Defensive home strength vs away vulnerability: New England concedes just 0.62 goals at home on average, while Houston concedes 1.89 away
  • Houston's attacking threat: The visitors averaged 5.0 shots on target per match in recent games
Risk Factors
  • Vulnerable defense on the road: Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 1.89 goals in away matches
  • Unfamiliar surface: Houston Dynamo has no performance data on artificial turf this season
  • Head-to-head history: The last meeting in October 2024 ended in a 2-1 victory for Houston Dynamo
Overview

New England hosts Houston Dynamo at Gillette Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 8, 2026, 10:30 PM

Third-placed New England with 30 points faces fourth-placed Houston Dynamo with 29 points

A direct clash for top positions in the standings

Form

New England shows a form of WLDWD with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against CF MontrƩal

Houston Dynamo is in strong shape with a form of WDDWW and remains unbeaten in their last 5 games

The visitors secured 3 wins and 2 draws, most recently winning 2-0 against Sporting KC

Statistics

New England scores an average of 1.65 goals and concedes 1.24 goals per game

At home, their defense is extremely stable, conceding just 0.62 goals per match

Houston Dynamo averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per game

On the road, the visitors' defense is more vulnerable, conceding 1.89 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Houston Dynamo won this previous encounter 2-1 away on October 3, 2024

Key Players

Carles Gil pulls the strings in New England's midfield with 7 goals and 3 assists

Dor Turgeman has contributed 4 goals and 5 assists in attack

For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme stands out with an impressive 10 goals and 5 assists

Goalkeepers

Matt Turner played 17 games in goal for New England, averaging a rating of 7.26

Jonathan Bond guarded the net 17 times for Houston Dynamo with a rating of 6.93

The home side kept 4 clean sheets this season, while the visitors recorded 6 clean sheets

Influences

Gillette Stadium features an artificial turf pitch

New England secured a strong 7 wins and only 2 losses in 10 matches on this surface

There is no artificial turf record data available for Houston Dynamo this season

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