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Major League Soccer

Charlotte - Houston Dynamo

09/05/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Charlotte
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Houston Dynamo
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
CHAHD

Charlotte

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.15
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.15

Houston Dynamo

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.38
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.13
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.12
Jack McGlynn  not in squad (2 goals, 5 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Houston Dynamo: first goal in 8 of 11 games (73%)

  • 2
    Houston Dynamo: 35% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 17)

  • 3
    Charlotte: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

55%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Offensive trend: Charlotte has recently scored an average of 2.4 goals per match, exceeding their season average of 1.9
  • Tactical edge: Charlotte averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Houston's average of 3.4
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a 45% home win probability with 1.52 expected goals for Charlotte
Risk Factors
  • Average attack: Houston Dynamo averaged 3.4 shots on target in recent matches amid a stalling offensive output
  • Strong defense: Houston Dynamo conceded an average of only 0.5 goals per match in recent games
  • Restricted data on weather conditions
Overview

Charlotte hosts Houston Dynamo at the Bank of America Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 5, 2026, 11:30 PM

Charlotte currently holds the 5th position with 35 points

Houston Dynamo enters the game in 2nd place with 39 points

An important clash in the upper section of the table

Form

Charlotte shows the form LWDWW

The home team registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

Houston Dynamo has a form of WWWLD

The visitors also recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Charlotte scored 40 goals in 22 games (avg 1.82)

The hosts conceded 32 goals so far (avg 1.45)

At home, Charlotte scored 26 goals and conceded 13

Houston Dynamo scored 30 goals (avg 1.36) and conceded 26 (avg 1.18)

Away from home, the visitors scored 17 goals and conceded 19

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match so far

Houston Dynamo won this sole encounter 1-0

Houston Dynamo scored 1 goal while Charlotte did not score

The last match took place on June 30, 2024

Key Players

Pep Biel shines for Charlotte with 11 goals and 7 assists this season

Idan Toklomati has contributed 7 goals and 2 assists

Liel Abada recorded 3 goals and 5 assists

For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme convinces with 12 goals and 5 assists

Mateusz Bogusz scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist

Lawrence Ennali has 3 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Kristijan Kahlina guards the goal for Charlotte with 4 clean sheets

Jonathan Bond is in goal for Houston Dynamo and has recorded 10 clean sheets

Both goalkeepers have played 22 matches this season

Influences

The match is played on artificial turf at the Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte achieved 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats on this surface

Houston Dynamo won 2 games on artificial turf with no draws or losses

The stadium history shows an average of 3.6 goals per game across 5 matches

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