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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles FC

09/06/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Real Salt Lake
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Los Angeles FC
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
RSLLAF

Real Salt Lake

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.13
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.13
Standings disadvantage (pos 10 vs 3, 7 places gap)
-0.10
Full strength squad available

Los Angeles FC

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.42
Declining form (0.5 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.39
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.26
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 10, 7 places gap)
+0.04
Timothy Tillman not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Real Salt Lake: dropped a lead in 5 of 8 games (12 points lost)

  • 2
    Los Angeles FC: 38% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 16)

  • 3
    Real Salt Lake: 8 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

30%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Tactical style: Real Salt Lake played counter-oriented in recent matches with an average of 44.8% possession
  • Squad update: Timothy Tillman with 1 goal and 2 assists is missing from the Los Angeles FC starting XI
  • Historical edge: Los Angeles FC won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings against Real Salt Lake
Risk Factors
  • Severe slump: Both sides are winless in their last 5 matches
  • Los Angeles FC attacking dip: Visitors averaged only 0.5 goals recently compared to 1.8 season average
  • Real Salt Lake efficiency loss: Home side's recent goals average dropped to 1.2 from 1.62
Overview

Real Salt Lake (10th place, 28 points) hosts Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 36 points)

Major League Soccer match at America First Field on September 6, 2026, 3:30 AM

Crucial clash for the MLS playoff positions

Form

Real Salt Lake is struggling with a form string of DDLLL

No wins in their last 5 matches with 2 draws and 3 losses

Los Angeles FC also showing weak form with a string of DLLDD

The visitors recorded 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Real Salt Lake scores 1.62 goals and concedes 1.57 goals on average per game

At home the hosts average only 0.93 goals conceded per match

Los Angeles FC has a strong defense conceding 0.96 goals on average

The model predicts a tight match with a 38% home win and 32% away win probability

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches in history

Los Angeles FC dominates with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Real Salt Lake and 1 draw

The last encounter on July 23, 2026 ended in a 3-1 win for Los Angeles FC

Goal record stands at 7:12 in favor of Los Angeles FC

Key Players

Sergi Solans leads the home side with 9 goals and 3 assists

Diego Luna commands the midfield with 5 goals and 3 assists

Noel Caliskan has provided 3 assists this season

Denis Bouanga leads the visitors with 11 goals and 4 assists

Heung-min Son shines with 4 goals and 8 assists

Mathieu Choinière adds midfield balance with 2 goals and 3 assists

Goalkeepers

Rafael Cabral is in goal for Real Salt Lake with 2 clean sheets this season

Hugo Lloris starts for Los Angeles FC with an impressive 12 clean sheets

Lloris holds a higher season rating of 6.91 compared to Cabral with 6.72

Influences

Match played on grass at America First Field

Stadium stats show an average of 3.4 goals per game

Both teams scored rate at this venue is at 60%

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