Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Dallas
08/02/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Dallas
League
The Lab
- 1Dallas: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2LA Galaxy: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3Dallas: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Dallas with Ramiro: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 5Gabriel Pec: 3 of 4 goals after minute 60 (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Goal draught for LA Galaxy: The hosts' goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.33
- High offensive probability: The mathematical analysis estimates an 83% probability for over 1.5 goals and a 63% probability of both teams scoring
- Squad changes for Dallas: Logan Farrington, Santiago Moreno, and Herman Johansson are not in the starting lineup despite their season contributions
Risk Factors
- Low shooting accuracy: LA Galaxy averaged only 3.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Defensive focus: Dallas averaged only 38.4% possession in recent matches, relying heavily on counter-attacks
- Weakened squad: LA Galaxy must cope without the injured M. Yamane and E. Thommy
Overview
LA Galaxy (11th place, 21 points) host Dallas (4th place, 26 points) at the Dignity Health Sports Park
Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 4:30 AM
The hosts aim to keep up with the playoff spots, while Dallas seek to consolidate their fourth place
Form
LA Galaxy form across all competitions: WDLLD
Most recently a 1-1 draw away at SJ Earthquakes
Dallas form across all competitions: LWWDL
Most recently a 0-1 defeat away at San Diego
LA Galaxy recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches
Dallas registered two wins, one draw, and two defeats
Statistics
LA Galaxy scored 24 goals this season (avg. 1.33 per game) and conceded 29 goals (avg. 1.61 per game)
The hosts kept 2 clean sheets in 18 games, while both teams scored in 15 matches
Dallas scored 32 goals this season (avg. 1.88 per game) and conceded 25 goals (avg. 1.47 per game)
The visitors kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches
Head-to-Head
Even historical record with two wins for each team and one draw in 5 head-to-head matches
Goal difference of 8-8 goals in these encounters
The last head-to-head match ended in a 2-2 draw on April 19, 2026
Key Players
Marco Reus contributed 4 goals and 6 assists in 18 season appearances, maintaining a 7.26 rating
Joseph Paintsil scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists in 14 games
Lucas Sanabria recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in 18 matches
Petar Musa stands out with 13 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances with a 7.39 rating
Patrickson Delgado scored three goals in 14 games
Joaquín Valiente assisted 3 goals in 16 matches
Goalkeepers
J. Marcinkowski played 13 times for LA Galaxy this season, maintaining an average rating of 7.04
Daniel made 2 appearances for Dallas this season with a rating of 6.77
LA Galaxy kept 2 clean sheets this season, while Dallas kept 3 clean sheets
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the Dignity Health Sports Park
An average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches at this stadium
Both teams scored in 4 out of these 5 encounters