Major League Soccer
Dallas - Real Salt Lake
05/10/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Dallas
Real Salt Lake
League
The Lab
- 1Real Salt Lake: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Real Salt Lake with Griffin Dillon: 5.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Dallas with Patrickson Delgado: 4.2 goals/90 min. Without: 1.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Dallas: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Dallas: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (4 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Dallas as a slight favorite with a 45% win probability and 1.65 predicted home goals
- Offensive strength: Real Salt Lake averaged 8.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating a strong offensive output
- Away defense: Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game, showing defensive vulnerability
Risk Factors
- Limited goal production: Dallas's goal production has recently stalled, with 1.2 goals compared to a season average of 2.0
- High away goals conceded rate: Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
Overview
Dallas (7th place, 16 points) host Real Salt Lake (6th place, 19 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 1:30 AM. Both teams are in the mid-table, fighting for a better position.
Form
Dallas' form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is DDLLW
In their last five games, Dallas recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Dallas won their last match away 2-0 against New York RB
Real Salt Lake's form is WWLLW
Real Salt Lake has 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games
Real Salt Lake won their last match at home 2-0 against Portland Timbers
Statistics
Dallas scored an average of 1.82 goals per game this season and conceded 1.36 goals
At home, the average is 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded
Dallas's goal production has recently stalled, with 1.2 goals compared to a season average of 2.0
Real Salt Lake scores an average of 1.90 goals per game and concedes 1.40 goals
Away from home, the average is 2.00 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded
Real Salt Lake consistently scores around 2.0 goals per game
Head-to-Head
The 4 previous head-to-head matches show an even record
Both teams won 1 game each, while 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is also balanced at 7:7
The last encounter on May 11, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
For Dallas, Petar Musa (10 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.61), Osaze Urhoghide (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 7.19), and Nolan Norris (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.05) are key players
Petar Musa recorded 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with an Avg. rating of 7.38
Nolan Norris scored 1 goal in the last 5 games with an Avg. rating of 7.15
For Real Salt Lake, Diego Luna (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.61), Zavier Gozo (3 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.29), and Sergi Solans (5 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.04) are crucial
Diego Luna showed rising form in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 1 assist (Avg. 7.91)
Zavier Gozo scored 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with rising form (Avg. 7.60)
Goalkeepers
Dallas' goalkeeper, Michael Collodi, has an Avg. rating of 6.85 in 11 appearances
Dallas has kept 3 clean sheets so far
Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper, Rafael Cabral, has an Avg. rating of 6.93 in 10 appearances
Real Salt Lake has kept 1 clean sheet so far
Influences
Dallas shows a solid home offense with an average of 1.86 home goals scored per game
Real Salt Lake scores an average of 2.00 goals per away game, but also concedes 2.33 goals