Major League Soccer
Sporting KC - LA Galaxy
05/14/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
3.0
1.9
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
6%2:1
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting KC
LA Galaxy
League
The Lab
- 1Sporting KC: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2LA Galaxy: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3LA Galaxy: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4Sporting KC: 73% of xG value comes in the first half (last 7 games with xG data)
- 5Sporting KC with Capita: 0.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
25%
Away Win
54%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
46%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for LA Galaxy with 54%
- Sporting KC is in negative form and failed to secure a win in their last 5 matches
- LA Galaxy shows more stable form with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Sporting KC's goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.4 goals in recent matches
- Sporting KC recorded an average of only 3 shots on target per game recently
- LA Galaxy concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game
Overview
Sporting KC (15th place, 5 points) host LA Galaxy (9th place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer
Match on May 14, 2026, 1:30 AM
Sporting KC is struggling at the bottom of the table
LA Galaxy aims to establish itself in the playoff ranks
Form
Sporting KC shows very poor form with "LLLDL"
In the last 5 matches, they recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
The last match ended in a loss
LA Galaxy is in more stable condition with "DLWDW"
The team registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last match was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sporting KC averages 0.73 goals scored per game and concedes 2.91 goals
At home, they average 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 goals conceded per home game
Sporting KC kept 0 clean sheets in home games
Both teams scored in 6 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 matches
LA Galaxy averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match
Away from home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.83 goals conceded per away game
LA Galaxy kept 0 clean sheets in away games
Both teams scored in 11 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC secured 2 wins and LA Galaxy 3 wins
Sporting KC scored 8 goals, while LA Galaxy scored 12 goals
The last encounter was won by LA Galaxy on March 15, 2026, with a 2:1 score
LA Galaxy has dominated recent encounters
Key Players
For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić is an important offensive player with 5 season goals and 1 assist
His form is stable with an average rating of 6.79 in the last 5 games
Lasse Berg Johnsen scored 1 goal and 0 assists this season, his form is declining
Calvin Harris has 0 goals and 1 assist this season with stable form
For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus is a key player with 4 goals and 4 assists in stable form this season
Gabriel Pec scored 3 goals and 3 assists this season and shows stable form
Joseph Paintsil contributed 2 goals and 2 assists and is in stable form
Goalkeepers
Stefan Cleveland of Sporting KC played in 2 season games and kept 0 clean sheets
J. Marcinkowski of LA Galaxy appeared in 8 season games and managed 0 clean sheets
Sporting KC has achieved 0 clean sheets this season, while LA Galaxy recorded 1 clean sheet
Influences
Sporting KC scores an average of 0.71 goals at home and concedes 1.57 goals
LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.5 goals away and concedes 1.83 goals