Major League Soccer
Toronto - Austin
04/18/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
Toronto
Austin
League
The Lab
- 1Austin: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 2Austin with Christian Ramirez: 1.4 goals/90 min. Without: 4 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 3Toronto with Deandre Kerr : 2.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.6 goals/90 min (4 of 7 games)
- 4Toronto: scored only after the break in 3 of 7 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Toronto is predicted to win at home with a 49% probability by the mathematical model
- Toronto's current form, with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, is significantly better than Austin's (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Toronto shows strong offensive play with an average of 5.2 shots on target in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Austin concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
- Austin averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Toronto hosts Austin in a Major League Soccer match on April 18, 2026, 7:00 PM. Toronto is in 6th place with 11 points. Austin is in 12th place with 6 points. Toronto aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table. Austin is fighting to catch up with the midfield of the league
Form
Toronto's form is strong with WDWWD. This reflects 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches. Toronto recently drew 1-1 against Cincinnati. Austin shows poor form with LLDDL. They recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. Their last result was a 1-2 loss against LA Galaxy. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Toronto averages 1.43 goals scored per game and concedes 1.57 goals this season. At home, the average is 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home game. They kept 1 clean sheet throughout the season. Austin averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 1.57 goals per game. Away, their average is 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded per away game. They kept 2 clean sheets this season. Both teams scored in 5 of their season games, and for Austin, this was also 5 times
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between Toronto and Austin. Toronto won this single game. Toronto scored 2 goals, while Austin scored 1 goal. The last encounter ended on September 14, 2024, with a 2-1 victory for Toronto. Toronto has recently dominated this fixture
Key Players
Toronto's offense is led by Dåniel Sallói, who contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season. In his last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.01. Alonso Coello shows rising form with an average rating of 7.55 in his last 5 games and 1 assist this season. José Cifuentes is also a key player with 1 goal this season and 1 goal in his last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.99 in the last 5 matches. For Austin, Myrto Uzuni is an important offensive force with 2 goals and 1 assist this season. He scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.76. Facundo Torres contributed 3 assists this season and achieved an average rating of 6.95 in his last 5 games. Jon Bell has scored 1 season goal and shown stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.91
Goalkeepers
Luka Gavran is Toronto's goalkeeper and has a season average rating of 6.6. He kept 1 clean sheet. Brad Stuver is Austin's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 7.28. He achieved 2 clean sheets
Influences
Toronto scores an average of 1.4 goals at home and concedes 1 goal per game. Austin concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game