Major League Soccer
Austin - Colorado Rapids
09/10/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.0
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Austin
Colorado Rapids
League
The Lab
- 1Austin: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)
- 2Austin: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Seattle Sounders: 2 goals (86', 90+1')
- 3Austin: 9 of 23 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
- 4Colorado Rapids: 2.8 cards per game (31 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
34%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- Struggling away offense: Colorado Rapids' goal production has slowed down averaging 0.8 goals recently compared to their 1.4 season average
- Possession dominance: Austin controlled matches recently averaging 55.2% possession and recording 4.6 shots on target
- Defensive discrepancy: Austin concedes only 0.92 goals at home while Colorado allows 3.14 goals per game on the road
Risk Factors
- Vulnerable away defense: Colorado Rapids concede an average of 3.14 goals per away game
- Low offensive threat: Colorado Rapids averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Limited data coverage regarding local weather conditions for this match
Overview
Austin (14th place, 25 points) host Colorado Rapids (8th place, 31 points) at the Q2 Stadium
Major League Soccer match on September 10, 2026, 2:30 AM
The model calculates a home win probability of 39%
The mathematical prediction estimates 1.14 goals for the hosts and 0.90 goals for the visitors
Form
Austin's form is stable with LWDWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Most recently the home side recorded a 1-1 draw against SJ Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids travel with a form of WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
The visitors lost their last match 0-3 against Columbus Crew
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Austin scored 29 goals and conceded 42 goals this season
At home Austin's defense is more stable conceding an average of 0.92 goals per game
Colorado Rapids scored 31 goals and conceded 31 goals in 23 matches
Away from home the Rapids struggle defensively conceding an average of 3.14 goals per match
Head-to-Head
There have been 5 head-to-head matches overall
Colorado Rapids won 3 times, Austin won 2 times with no draws
The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 win for Colorado Rapids on August 2, 2026
Key Players
For Austin Facundo Torres stands out with 3 goals and 5 assists
Ervin Torres stabilizes the midfield with a season rating of 6.82
Guilherme Biro has already scored 3 goals this season for the hosts
For Colorado Rapids Paxten Aaronson leads the team with 4 goals and 5 assists
Reggie Cannon contributed 2 goals from defense recently
Youssef Maziz recorded 2 assists in 5 appearances
Not nominated: Rafael Navarro (10 goals/3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (0 goals/2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Austin relies on goalkeeper Brad Stuver with a season rating of 7.16 and 4 clean sheets
On the other side Nicolas Hansen starts for Colorado Rapids with a season rating of 7.01
Influences
Austin utilizes home advantage on grass at the Q2 Stadium with 4 clean sheets
The historical venue stats show an average of 2.8 total goals per match
Colorado Rapids struggle on the road on natural grass surfaces