Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Los Angeles FC
07/18/2026, 02:25 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
League
The Lab
- 1LA Galaxy: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 2Los Angeles FC with Nathan Ordaz: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)
- 3Los Angeles FC: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Los Angeles FC: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5LA Galaxy: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Squad impact: LA Galaxy is without the unlisted Gabriel Pec (5 goals, 4 assists)
- Tactical threat: Los Angeles FC averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Matchup details: LA Galaxy's consistent offense meets a vulnerable away defense conceding 1.5 goals per away game on average
Risk Factors
- Away weakness: Los Angeles FC concedes an average of 1.5 goals per away match
- Form trend in attack: Los Angeles FC's goal scoring has slowed down recently to 1.4 goals per match compared to their seasonal average of 1.9
Overview
LA Galaxy host Los Angeles FC at the Dignity Health Sports Park
MLS match on July 18, 2026, 4:25 AM
9th-placed LA Galaxy challenges 5th-placed Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy has 20 points, while the visitors have 24 points
An important derby match in Major League Soccer
Form
LA Galaxy shows a stable trend with a form of DWLWD
In the last 5 games they recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Los Angeles FC recently ended a negative run with a win and a form of DLLLW
The visitors got 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Statistics
LA Galaxy averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game
At home, LA Galaxy averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
Los Angeles FC averages 1.60 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded
LA Galaxy home games feature a 100% BTTS rate this season in evaluated matches
Head-to-Head
Balanced historical record over 5 head-to-head matches
LA Galaxy won 1 game, while Los Angeles FC won 2 games with 2 draws
The goal difference is exactly 11:11
The last meeting ended in a high-scoring 3:3 draw
Key Players
Marco Reus has 4 goals and 5 assists in 15 appearances with a rating of 7.3
Joseph Paintsil recorded 3 goals and 2 assists in 11 games
Lucas Sanabria scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist with a rating of 6.75
Denis Bouanga leads his side with 6 goals and 2 assists in 14 games
Heung-min Son has already contributed 8 assists in 13 matches
Mark Delgado has 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.09
Goalkeepers
Novak MiÄoviÄ starts in goal for LA Galaxy
Hugo Lloris guards the net for Los Angeles FC
Hugo Lloris recorded 9 clean sheets this season, while Novak MiÄoviÄ has none
Influences
LA Galaxy plays on grass at Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy's home advantage is visible with 1.14 goals conceded per home game compared to 1.75 away
The venue averages 2.6 goals per game