Major League Soccer
St. Louis City - Los Angeles FC
05/14/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
League
The Lab
- 1Los Angeles FC with Jeremy Ebobisse: 5.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2St. Louis City: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3St. Louis City with Rafael Santos: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4St. Louis City: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 5Los Angeles FC: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Los Angeles FC's significantly better season performance with 3rd place and 1.67 goals on average
- Los Angeles FC's historical superiority with 4 wins from 5 direct encounters
- The pipeline analysis predicts a narrow home win with 39% probability despite the league table difference
Risk Factors
- Los Angeles FC has only 3 days rest since their last match
- St. Louis City is missing Simon Becher (1 goal, 3 assists), with only 61% of their assist threat available
Overview
St. Louis City (14th place, 9 points) hosts Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 21 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game takes place on May 14, 2026, 2:30 AM. Los Angeles FC holds a top position, while St. Louis City is at the lower end of the table
Form
St. Louis City's current form across all competitions is 'DLLLW', which corresponds to one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games. Their last result was a win. Los Angeles FC has a form of 'LDWDL', with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their last result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
St. Louis City averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season. At home, the average is 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded. Los Angeles FC is stronger offensively with an average of 1.67 goals per game and a better defense of 1.0 goals conceded per match. Away from home, Los Angeles FC scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.0 goals on average. St. Louis City consistently scores (~1.0 goals per game) according to Advanced Stats. Los Angeles FC's goal production is currently stagnant (1.3), while their season average is 2.0
Head-to-Head
In the five direct encounters so far, Los Angeles FC has clearly dominated with four wins and one draw. St. Louis City has not managed to win any of the five meetings. Los Angeles FC scored a total of 10 goals in these matches, while St. Louis City only managed 2 goals. Los Angeles FC won the last game 2-0 on March 15, 2026
Key Players
For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.68 rating), Eduard Löwen (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 6.89 rating), and Daniel Ethan Edelman (0 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.88 rating) are key players in the starting eleven. For Los Angeles FC, Denis Bouanga (5 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.23 rating), Mark Delgado (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.17 rating), and Heung-min Son (0 goals, 7 assists, avg 7.12 rating) are notable
Goalkeepers
Roman BĂŒrki of St. Louis City kept 1 clean sheet this season, with an average rating of 6.81. Hugo Lloris of Los Angeles FC recorded 8 clean sheets and has an average rating of 6.99
Influences
St. Louis City scored an average of 0.86 home goals and conceded 0.86 home goals. Los Angeles FC scored an average of 1.5 away goals and conceded 1.0 away goals